Suzan Lamens vs Ella Seidel
Hobart | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 06:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ella Seidel
Suzan …: 34,4% Ella …: 65,6%
¿Por qué Ella Seidel?
UTR 11,90 vs 12,03 (-0,16) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Suzan … Ella … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,62 45,5%
Gamdom 2,14 1,63 46,7%
IA Fair Odds 2,91 1,52 34,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Suzan …: -8,0% Ella …: +8,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Suzan Lamens
Ranking #97
UTR Rating 11,90 Pro
UTR Ranking #130
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 20/40 = 50,0%
Ella Seidel
Ranking #82
UTR Rating 12,03 Pro
UTR Ranking #98
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 26/38 = 68,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -13,0000
rank_ratio 0,8660
log_rank_ratio -0,1439
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -53,0000
best_rank_diff 27,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -18,4211
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -16,6667
surface_matches_ratio 1,0526
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 68,4211
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 66,6667
p1_surface_matches 40,0000
p2_surface_matches 38,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -6,4158
first_serve_won_diff -4,6084
second_serve_won_diff -2,7668
bp_saved_diff -8,3416
bp_converted_diff 4,1189
aces_per_match_diff -1,6408
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff -38,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -22,2310
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5950
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5714
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7143
serve_consistency_p1 6,7905
serve_consistency_p2 14,5317
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,6507
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0130
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1712
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1600
utr_p1 0,4647
utr_p2 0,4835
utr_advantage -1,3300
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22050
API ID 15336339
Gamdom ID 584506
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22050,
    "api_id": 15336339,
    "gamdom_id": 584506,
    "player1": "Suzan Lamens",
    "player2": "Ella Seidel",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-10T02:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.6153846153846154
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.14,
      "p2": 1.63
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.18,
      "p2": 1.64
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3437,
    "prob_p2": 0.6563,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6563,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 97,
      "utr_singles": 11.9,
      "utr_ranking": 130,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 40,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 82,
      "utr_singles": 12.03,
      "utr_ranking": 98,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 68.42105263157895,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.9,
      "ranking": 130,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.03,
      "ranking": 98,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4647058823529411,
    "utr_p2": 0.4835294117647058,
    "utr_diff": -0.16000000000000014,
    "rank_ratio": 0.865979381443299,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": -53,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -8.341578947368419,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -38.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 68.42105263157895,
    "utr_advantage": -1.3300083125519546,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 27,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.14389417966006918,
    "rank_advantage": -13,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -18.421052631578945,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.118947368421047,
    "p1_surface_matches": 40,
    "p2_surface_matches": 38,
    "serve_quality_diff": -6.41584210526316,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5950413223140496,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.6407894736842106,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.60842105263157,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.7905192136707235,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 14.531664330477474,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.650682256896011,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.66666666666666,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.7668421052631587,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0526315789473684,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -22.231,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.013000000000000012,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17121052631578948,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -16.666666666666657,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}