Catherine McNally vs Kaja Juvan
Hobart | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 08:55
10 Ene 2026, 08:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kaja Juvan
Catherine …: 48,1%
Kaja …: 51,9%
¿Por qué Kaja Juvan?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Catherine … | Kaja … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,50 | 2,50 | 66,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,41 | 2,70 | 70,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,08 | 1,93 | 48,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Catherine …: -14,4%
Kaja …: +14,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Catherine McNally
Ranking
#85
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
11/21 = 52,4%
Kaja Juvan
Ranking
#100
UTR Rating
12,12 Pro
UTR Ranking
#74
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
9/16 = 56,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 16,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1928 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1763 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 66,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 4,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -3,8690 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,8500 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3125 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52,3810 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,2500 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0476 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,1668 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,3625 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,0375 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9,0375 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0060 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -2,8750 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 71,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4648 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,4069 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,6872 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,6820 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0078 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0785 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4894 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4894 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22051
API ID
15336344
Gamdom ID
584510
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22051,
"api_id": 15336344,
"gamdom_id": 584510,
"player1": "Catherine McNally",
"player2": "Kaja Juvan",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-10T04:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.41,
"p2": 2.7
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.43,
"p2": 2.71
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4806,
"prob_p2": 0.5194,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5194,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 85,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.38095238095239,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 100,
"utr_singles": 12.12,
"utr_ranking": 74,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.12,
"ranking": 74,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4894117647058824,
"utr_p2": 0.4894117647058824,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.1927710843373494,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": 66,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.0375000000000085,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -11.999999999999996,
"p1_confidence": 0.7,
"p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 52.38095238095239,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.25,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 4,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.17627924233799197,
"rank_advantage": 16,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -3.8690476190476133,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.037499999999994,
"p1_surface_matches": 21,
"p2_surface_matches": 16,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.16684523809523455,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4647887323943662,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.005952380952380931,
"combined_confidence": 0.6166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.36250000000000426,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.047619047619047616,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.406851030722573,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.687176162967368,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.6820327828553251,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.00000000000001,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.1999999999999886,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3125,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -2.875,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 71,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.007809523809523822,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07850000000000001,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.8500000000000045,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}