Catherine McNally vs Kaja Juvan
Hobart | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 08:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kaja Juvan
Catherine …: 48,1% Kaja …: 51,9%
¿Por qué Kaja Juvan?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Catherine … Kaja … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,50 2,50 66,7%
Gamdom 1,41 2,70 70,9%
IA Fair Odds 2,08 1,93 48,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Catherine …: -14,4% Kaja …: +14,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Catherine McNally
Ranking #85
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 11/21 = 52,4%
Kaja Juvan
Ranking #100
UTR Rating 12,12 Pro
UTR Ranking #74
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 9/16 = 56,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 16,0000
rank_ratio 1,1928
log_rank_ratio 0,1763
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 66,0000
best_rank_diff 4,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -3,8690
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,8500
surface_matches_ratio 1,3125
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 52,3810
surface_wr_p2 56,2500
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,0000
p1_surface_matches 21,0000
p2_surface_matches 16,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0476
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7000
p2_confidence 0,5333
combined_confidence 0,6167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,1668
first_serve_won_diff 0,3625
second_serve_won_diff -1,2000
bp_saved_diff 4,0375
bp_converted_diff 9,0375
aces_per_match_diff 0,0060
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff -12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -2,8750
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 71,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,4648
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2500
serve_consistency_p1 5,4069
serve_consistency_p2 9,6872
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,6820
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0078
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0785
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4894
utr_p2 0,4894
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22051
API ID 15336344
Gamdom ID 584510
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22051,
    "api_id": 15336344,
    "gamdom_id": 584510,
    "player1": "Catherine McNally",
    "player2": "Kaja Juvan",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-10T04:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.41,
      "p2": 2.7
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.43,
      "p2": 2.71
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4806,
    "prob_p2": 0.5194,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5194,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 85,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.38095238095239,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 100,
      "utr_singles": 12.12,
      "utr_ranking": 74,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.25,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.12,
      "ranking": 74,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4894117647058824,
    "utr_p2": 0.4894117647058824,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.1927710843373494,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": 66,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.0375000000000085,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -11.999999999999996,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 52.38095238095239,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.25,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 4,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.17627924233799197,
    "rank_advantage": 16,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -3.8690476190476133,
    "bp_converted_diff": 9.037499999999994,
    "p1_surface_matches": 21,
    "p2_surface_matches": 16,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.16684523809523455,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4647887323943662,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.005952380952380931,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6166666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.36250000000000426,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.047619047619047616,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.406851030722573,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.687176162967368,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.6820327828553251,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.00000000000001,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.1999999999999886,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.3125,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -2.875,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 71,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.007809523809523822,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07850000000000001,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.8500000000000045,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}