Darja Semenistaja vs Moyuka Uchijima
Hobart | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 09:00
10 Ene 2026, 09:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Moyuka Uchijima
Darja …: 42,5%
Moyuka …: 57,5%
¿Por qué Moyuka Uchijima?
UTR 11,94 vs 11,46
(+0,46)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Darja … | Moyuka … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,00 | 57,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,72 | 2,00 | 58,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,35 | 1,74 | 42,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Darja …: -11,1%
Moyuka …: +11,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Darja Semenistaja
Ranking
#98
UTR Rating
11,94 Pro
UTR Ranking
#121
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
3/9 = 33,3%
Moyuka Uchijima
Ranking
#88
UTR Rating
11,46 Pro
UTR Ranking
#280
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
14/34 = 41,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -9,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9082 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0963 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -29,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -40,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -7,8431 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,1952 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,2647 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 41,1765 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 40,4218 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,1053 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 34,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7100 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,8636 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,3176 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6,6412 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -14,1588 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,0176 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,3562 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 7,0500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7692 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7984 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5833 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,5090 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,6942 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,7555 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1577 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0972 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4682 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4141 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,9149 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22052
API ID
15336342
Gamdom ID
584512
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22052,
"api_id": 15336342,
"gamdom_id": 584512,
"player1": "Darja Semenistaja",
"player2": "Moyuka Uchijima",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-10T05:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.7272727272727273,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.72,
"p2": 2.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.75,
"p2": 2.01
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4253,
"prob_p2": 0.5747,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5747,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 98,
"utr_singles": 11.94,
"utr_ranking": 121,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 88,
"utr_singles": 11.46,
"utr_ranking": 280,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.17647058823529,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.94,
"ranking": 121,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.46,
"ranking": 280,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4682352941176471,
"utr_p2": 0.4141176470588235,
"utr_diff": 0.46000000000000085,
"rank_ratio": 0.9081632653061225,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.0,
"points_diff": -29,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -14.158823529411762,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 10.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.42,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 41.17647058823529,
"utr_advantage": 3.914893617021284,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -40,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.09633110893843207,
"rank_advantage": -9,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5833333333333334,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -7.843137254901961,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.017647058823535,
"p1_surface_matches": 9,
"p2_surface_matches": 34,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.863594771241836,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7692307692307693,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7984496124031008,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.3562091503267972,
"combined_confidence": 0.71,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.317647058823546,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.509018566623533,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.694235139689298,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.7555381093210358,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.421836228287845,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.10526315789473,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.641176470588228,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.2647058823529412,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 7.049999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.15766666666666673,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09723529411764709,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.1952331200208905,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}