Darja Semenistaja vs Moyuka Uchijima
Hobart | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 09:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Moyuka Uchijima
Darja …: 42,5% Moyuka …: 57,5%
¿Por qué Moyuka Uchijima?
UTR 11,94 vs 11,46 (+0,46) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Darja … Moyuka … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,73 2,00 57,9%
Gamdom 1,72 2,00 58,1%
IA Fair Odds 2,35 1,74 42,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Darja …: -11,1% Moyuka …: +11,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Darja Semenistaja
Ranking #98
UTR Rating 11,94 Pro
UTR Ranking #121
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 3/9 = 33,3%
Moyuka Uchijima
Ranking #88
UTR Rating 11,46 Pro
UTR Ranking #280
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 14/34 = 41,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -9,0000
rank_ratio 0,9082
log_rank_ratio -0,0963
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -29,0000
best_rank_diff -40,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -7,8431
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,1952
surface_matches_ratio 0,2647
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 33,3333
surface_wr_p2 41,1765
surface_wr_p1_stable 40,4218
surface_wr_p2_stable 42,1053
p1_surface_matches 9,0000
p2_surface_matches 34,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4200
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7100
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7,8636
first_serve_won_diff -6,3176
second_serve_won_diff -6,6412
bp_saved_diff -14,1588
bp_converted_diff 6,0176
aces_per_match_diff -1,3562
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 7,0500
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7692
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7984
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5833
serve_consistency_p1 8,5090
serve_consistency_p2 5,6942
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,7555
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1577
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0972
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,4600
utr_p1 0,4682
utr_p2 0,4141
utr_advantage 3,9149
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22052
API ID 15336342
Gamdom ID 584512
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22052,
    "api_id": 15336342,
    "gamdom_id": 584512,
    "player1": "Darja Semenistaja",
    "player2": "Moyuka Uchijima",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-10T05:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.7272727272727273,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.72,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.75,
      "p2": 2.01
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4253,
    "prob_p2": 0.5747,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5747,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 98,
      "utr_singles": 11.94,
      "utr_ranking": 121,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 88,
      "utr_singles": 11.46,
      "utr_ranking": 280,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.17647058823529,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 34,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.94,
      "ranking": 121,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.46,
      "ranking": 280,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4682352941176471,
    "utr_p2": 0.4141176470588235,
    "utr_diff": 0.46000000000000085,
    "rank_ratio": 0.9081632653061225,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 30.0,
    "points_diff": -29,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -14.158823529411762,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.42,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2": 41.17647058823529,
    "utr_advantage": 3.914893617021284,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -40,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.09633110893843207,
    "rank_advantage": -9,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5833333333333334,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -7.843137254901961,
    "bp_converted_diff": 6.017647058823535,
    "p1_surface_matches": 9,
    "p2_surface_matches": 34,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.863594771241836,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7692307692307693,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7984496124031008,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.3562091503267972,
    "combined_confidence": 0.71,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -6.317647058823546,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.509018566623533,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.694235139689298,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.7555381093210358,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.421836228287845,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.10526315789473,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -6.641176470588228,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.2647058823529412,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 7.049999999999997,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.15766666666666673,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09723529411764709,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.1952331200208905,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}