Ava Beck vs Simona Waltert
Hobart | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 11:25
10 Ene 2026, 11:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Simona Waltert
Ava …: 8,3%
Simona …: 91,7%
¿Por qué Simona Waltert?
UTR 9,76 vs 12,15
(-2,48)
— Ventaja clara
Ava …
W21-L18
54% WR
vs UTR 9,4
L1
Simona …
Sin datos
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (39%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ava … | Simona … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 19,00 | 1,02 | 5,3% |
| Gamdom | 11,00 | 1,01 | 9,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 12,02 | 1,09 | 8,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ava …: +3,2%
Simona …: -3,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ava Beck
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,76 Junior
UTR Ranking
#319
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Simona Waltert
Ranking
#87
UTR Rating
12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#66
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
8/12 = 66,7%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Ava Beck
Record 2025
21W - 18L (54%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
9,4
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
W
W
Simona Waltert
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -412,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1760 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,7373 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -817,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -414,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -22,6200 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0833 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 4,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,5000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3867 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -31,8033 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -33,5167 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -23,4833 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -39,6667 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -39,8500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -4,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -52,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -40,8200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 370,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,3101 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 115,8181 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0880 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2453 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -2,4800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,2047 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4965 | |
| utr_advantage | -22,5865 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22054
API ID
15336319
Gamdom ID
584522
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22054,
"api_id": 15336319,
"gamdom_id": 584522,
"player1": "Ava Beck",
"player2": "Simona Waltert",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-10T07:25:32+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 19.0,
"p2": 1.02
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 11.0,
"p2": 1.01
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 15.17,
"p2": 1.02
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.0832,
"prob_p2": 0.9168,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.9168,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.76,
"utr_ranking": 319,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 21,
"utr_v4_losses": 18,
"utr_v4_wr": 53.84615384615385,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.37,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.62,
"opponent_name": "Ya Yi Yang"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.68,
"opponent_name": "Stefani Webb"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.21,
"opponent_name": "Laquisa Khan"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 7.95,
"opponent_name": "Sara Mickoska"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.07,
"opponent_name": "Nanari Katsumi"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:33.853264+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 87,
"utr_singles": 12.15,
"utr_ranking": 66,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 9.76,
"ranking": 319,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.15,
"ranking": 66,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.2047058823529412,
"utr_p2": 0.4964705882352942,
"utr_diff": -2.4800000000000004,
"rank_ratio": 0.176,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": -817,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -39.66666666666667,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -52.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.46,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
"utr_advantage": -22.586520947176687,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -414,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.7372712839439852,
"rank_advantage": -412,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": -66.66666666666666,
"bp_converted_diff": -39.85,
"p1_surface_matches": 1,
"p2_surface_matches": 12,
"serve_quality_diff": -31.80333333333333,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -4.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.38666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -33.516666666666666,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.310119292262481,
"surface_rank_synergy": 115.81808559626566,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 4.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.5,
"second_serve_won_diff": -23.48333333333333,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.08333333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -40.82000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 370,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08799999999999997,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.24533333333333351,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -22.62,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}