Renata Zarazua vs Leolia Jeanjean
Hobart | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 12:40
10 Ene 2026, 12:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Leolia Jeanjean
Renata …: 45,1%
Leolia …: 54,9%
¿Por qué Leolia Jeanjean?
UTR 12,08 vs 11,85
(+0,15)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Renata … | Leolia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,53 | 2,38 | 65,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,50 | 2,42 | 66,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,22 | 1,82 | 45,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Renata …: -15,7%
Leolia …: +15,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Renata Zarazua
Ranking
#80
UTR Rating
12,08 Pro
UTR Ranking
#85
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
11/26 = 42,3%
Leolia Jeanjean
Ranking
#103
UTR Rating
11,85 Pro
UTR Ranking
#139
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
13/24 = 54,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 25,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3247 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2812 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 84,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 40,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -11,8590 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,5317 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0833 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,3077 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54,1667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 24,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1538 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9,3010 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,1077 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -9,0077 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,4154 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,7000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,5224 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 31,9300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5200 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5946 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3750 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,5164 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,2571 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3,3344 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1019 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0667 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -11,8590 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4776 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4600 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,2516 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22055
API ID
15336340
Gamdom ID
584520
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22055,
"api_id": 15336340,
"gamdom_id": 584520,
"player1": "Renata Zarazua",
"player2": "Leolia Jeanjean",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-10T08:40:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5333333333333332,
"p2": 2.375
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.42
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.53,
"p2": 2.4
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4507,
"prob_p2": 0.5493,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5493,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 80,
"utr_singles": 12.08,
"utr_ranking": 85,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 103,
"utr_singles": 11.85,
"utr_ranking": 139,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.166666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.08,
"ranking": 85,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.85,
"ranking": 139,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4776470588235295,
"utr_p2": 0.46,
"utr_diff": 0.15000000000000036,
"rank_ratio": 1.3246753246753247,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"points_diff": 84,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.415384615384625,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 50.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.8,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.30769230769231,
"surface_wr_p2": 54.166666666666664,
"utr_advantage": 1.2515644555694647,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 40,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.2811673914305872,
"rank_advantage": 25,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -11.858974358974358,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.700000000000003,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 24,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.301025641025646,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.52,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5945945945945946,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.5224358974358974,
"combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.107692307692311,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.15384615384615385,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.516358873778184,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.257133958910995,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.3343568855550405,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.57142857142857,
"second_serve_won_diff": -9.007692307692317,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0833333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 31.930000000000014,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -11.858974358974358,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10192307692307695,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06666666666666665,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.531746031746028,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}