Renata Zarazua vs Leolia Jeanjean
Hobart | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 12:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Leolia Jeanjean
Renata …: 45,1% Leolia …: 54,9%
¿Por qué Leolia Jeanjean?
UTR 12,08 vs 11,85 (+0,15) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Renata … Leolia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,53 2,38 65,2%
Gamdom 1,50 2,42 66,7%
IA Fair Odds 2,22 1,82 45,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Renata …: -15,7% Leolia …: +15,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Renata Zarazua
Ranking #80
UTR Rating 12,08 Pro
UTR Ranking #85
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 11/26 = 42,3%
Leolia Jeanjean
Ranking #103
UTR Rating 11,85 Pro
UTR Ranking #139
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 13/24 = 54,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 25,0000
rank_ratio 1,3247
log_rank_ratio 0,2812
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 84,0000
best_rank_diff 40,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -11,8590
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -8,5317
surface_matches_ratio 1,0833
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,3077
surface_wr_p2 54,1667
surface_wr_p1_stable 43,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,5714
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 24,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1538
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 0,8000
combined_confidence 0,8333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -9,3010
first_serve_won_diff -7,1077
second_serve_won_diff -9,0077
bp_saved_diff -4,4154
bp_converted_diff 3,7000
aces_per_match_diff -1,5224
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 10,0000
momentum_diff 50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 31,9300
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5200
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5946
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3750
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 4,5164
serve_consistency_p2 10,2571
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -3,3344
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1019
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0667
elite_surface_amplifier -11,8590
UTR
utr_diff 0,1500
utr_p1 0,4776
utr_p2 0,4600
utr_advantage 1,2516
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22055
API ID 15336340
Gamdom ID 584520
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22055,
    "api_id": 15336340,
    "gamdom_id": 584520,
    "player1": "Renata Zarazua",
    "player2": "Leolia Jeanjean",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-10T08:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5333333333333332,
      "p2": 2.375
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.42
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.53,
      "p2": 2.4
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4507,
    "prob_p2": 0.5493,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5493,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 80,
      "utr_singles": 12.08,
      "utr_ranking": 85,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 103,
      "utr_singles": 11.85,
      "utr_ranking": 139,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.166666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 24,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.08,
      "ranking": 85,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.85,
      "ranking": 139,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4776470588235295,
    "utr_p2": 0.46,
    "utr_diff": 0.15000000000000036,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3246753246753247,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 10.0,
    "points_diff": 84,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.415384615384625,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.30769230769231,
    "surface_wr_p2": 54.166666666666664,
    "utr_advantage": 1.2515644555694647,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 40,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.2811673914305872,
    "rank_advantage": 25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -11.858974358974358,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.700000000000003,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 24,
    "serve_quality_diff": -9.301025641025646,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.52,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5945945945945946,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.5224358974358974,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -7.107692307692311,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.15384615384615385,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.516358873778184,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.257133958910995,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -3.3343568855550405,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.57142857142857,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -9.007692307692317,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0833333333333333,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 31.930000000000014,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -11.858974358974358,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10192307692307695,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06666666666666665,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.531746031746028,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}