Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah vs Julia Grabher
Hobart | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 12:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Tiantsoa …: 60,0% Julia …: 40,0%
¿Por qué Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah?
UTR 11,50 vs 11,89 (-0,43) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tiantsoa … Julia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,62 2,20 61,9%
Gamdom 1,55 2,30 64,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,67 2,50 60,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Tiantsoa …: +2,3% Julia …: -2,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Ranking #118
UTR Rating 11,50 Pro
UTR Ranking #258
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 4/11 = 36,4%
Julia Grabher
Ranking #95
UTR Rating 11,89 Pro
UTR Ranking #133
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 2/10 = 20,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -25,0000
rank_ratio 0,7863
log_rank_ratio -0,2404
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -159,0000
best_rank_diff -63,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 16,3636
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 5,0286
surface_matches_ratio 1,1000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 36,3636
surface_wr_p2 20,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 40,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 28,5714
p1_surface_matches 11,0000
p2_surface_matches 10,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2727
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4467
p2_confidence 0,4333
combined_confidence 0,4400
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,1611
first_serve_won_diff -1,3673
second_serve_won_diff 4,4691
bp_saved_diff -4,0127
bp_converted_diff 12,9091
aces_per_match_diff -0,4091
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -5,5110
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 28,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 4,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,1724
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 7,9675
serve_consistency_p2 11,0113
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -3,9336
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1114
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3250
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,4300
utr_p1 0,4176
utr_p2 0,4682
utr_advantage -3,6549
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22056
API ID 15336337
Gamdom ID 584521
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22056,
    "api_id": 15336337,
    "gamdom_id": 584521,
    "player1": "Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah",
    "player2": "Julia Grabher",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-10T08:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.6153846153846154,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.55,
      "p2": 2.3
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.58,
      "p2": 2.31
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6,
    "prob_p2": 0.4,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 118,
      "utr_singles": 11.5,
      "utr_ranking": 258,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 36.36363636363637,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 11,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 95,
      "utr_singles": 11.89,
      "utr_ranking": 133,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 20.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.5,
      "ranking": 258,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.89,
      "ranking": 133,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4176470588235295,
    "utr_p2": 0.4682352941176471,
    "utr_diff": -0.4299999999999997,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7863247863247863,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.0,
    "points_diff": -159,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.012727272727268,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "surface_wr_p1": 36.36363636363637,
    "surface_wr_p2": 20.0,
    "utr_advantage": -3.6549086272843154,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -63,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.24038535774871583,
    "rank_advantage": -25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 16.363636363636367,
    "bp_converted_diff": 12.909090909090914,
    "p1_surface_matches": 11,
    "p2_surface_matches": 10,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.16109090909090895,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.1724137931034483,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.40909090909090917,
    "combined_confidence": 0.44,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.36727272727272,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.2727272727272727,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.967481897639263,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.01133960019973,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -3.9335785813426236,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 28.57142857142857,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.469090909090909,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.1,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -5.51100000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 28,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.11136363636363633,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.325,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.028571428571429,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}