Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah vs Julia Grabher
Hobart | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 12:45
10 Ene 2026, 12:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Tiantsoa …: 60,0%
Julia …: 40,0%
¿Por qué Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah?
UTR 11,50 vs 11,89
(-0,43)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tiantsoa … | Julia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,62 | 2,20 | 61,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,55 | 2,30 | 64,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,67 | 2,50 | 60,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tiantsoa …: +2,3%
Julia …: -2,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Ranking
#118
UTR Rating
11,50 Pro
UTR Ranking
#258
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
4/11 = 36,4%
Julia Grabher
Ranking
#95
UTR Rating
11,89 Pro
UTR Ranking
#133
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
2/10 = 20,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -25,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7863 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2404 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -159,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -63,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 16,3636 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 5,0286 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 36,3636 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 28,5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 11,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2727 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4467 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4400 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,1611 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,3673 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,4691 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,0127 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 12,9091 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,4091 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -5,5110 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,1724 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,9675 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,0113 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3,9336 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1114 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3250 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4176 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4682 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,6549 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22056
API ID
15336337
Gamdom ID
584521
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22056,
"api_id": 15336337,
"gamdom_id": 584521,
"player1": "Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah",
"player2": "Julia Grabher",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-10T08:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.6153846153846154,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.55,
"p2": 2.3
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.58,
"p2": 2.31
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6,
"prob_p2": 0.4,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 118,
"utr_singles": 11.5,
"utr_ranking": 258,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 36.36363636363637,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 95,
"utr_singles": 11.89,
"utr_ranking": 133,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 20.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.5,
"ranking": 258,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.89,
"ranking": 133,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4176470588235295,
"utr_p2": 0.4682352941176471,
"utr_diff": -0.4299999999999997,
"rank_ratio": 0.7863247863247863,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"points_diff": -159,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.012727272727268,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"surface_wr_p1": 36.36363636363637,
"surface_wr_p2": 20.0,
"utr_advantage": -3.6549086272843154,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -63,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.24038535774871583,
"rank_advantage": -25,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 16.363636363636367,
"bp_converted_diff": 12.909090909090914,
"p1_surface_matches": 11,
"p2_surface_matches": 10,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.16109090909090895,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.1724137931034483,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.40909090909090917,
"combined_confidence": 0.44,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.36727272727272,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2727272727272727,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.967481897639263,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.01133960019973,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.9335785813426236,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 28.57142857142857,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.469090909090909,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -5.51100000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 28,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.11136363636363633,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.325,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.028571428571429,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}