Monika Jirouskova vs Magdalena Hedrzak
UTR PTT Krakow Women 01 | Carpet | Semifinals
10 Ene 2026, 14:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Monika Jirouskova
Monika …: 69,5% Magdalena …: 30,5%
¿Por qué Monika Jirouskova?
UTR 9,00 vs 9,00 (+3,50) — Ventaja clara
Monika …
W27-L24
53% WR
vs UTR 9,0
L6
Magdalena …
W30-L25
55% WR
vs UTR 9,2
L3
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Monika … Magdalena … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1,44 3,28 69,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Monika Jirouskova
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,00 Junior
UTR Ranking #464
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Magdalena Hedrzak
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,00 General
UTR Ranking #2075
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (5p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Monika Jirouskova
Record 2025 27W - 24L (53%)
Racha 6L
UTR Oponentes 9,0
Últimos 5:
L L L L L
Magdalena Hedrzak
Record 2025 30W - 25L (55%)
Racha 3L
UTR Oponentes 9,2
Últimos 5:
L L L W W
Análisis Momentum
Magdalena Hedrzak ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 9,2 vs 9,0).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1500
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 69,3878
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff -20,6122
weighted_momentum_diff -15,4592
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 11,5879
serve_consistency_p2 14,6039
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 3,4974
utr_p1 0,5291
utr_p2 0,1176
utr_advantage 32,5381
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,5000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22061
API ID 15336569
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Krakow Women 01
Superficie Carpet
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22061,
    "api_id": 15336569,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Monika Jirouskova",
    "player2": "Magdalena Hedrzak",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Krakow Women 01",
    "surface": "carpet",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-10T10:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.695,
    "prob_p2": 0.305,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.695,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 464,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 27,
      "utr_v4_losses": 24,
      "utr_v4_wr": 52.94117647058824,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 6,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.97,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Barbora Matou\u0161kov\u00e1"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Sofie Maresova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Noelia Manta"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Sara Gvozdenovic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Alessandra Teodosescu"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:54.046952+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2075,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 30,
      "utr_v4_losses": 25,
      "utr_v4_wr": 54.54545454545454,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.21,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.38,
          "opponent_name": "Laura Svatikova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.63,
          "opponent_name": "Ekaterina Maklakova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.33,
          "opponent_name": "Daria Yesypchuk"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Veronika Kulhava"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.47,
          "opponent_name": "Olga Danilova"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:30.282730+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 464,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 2075,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5291083676429411,
    "utr_p2": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_diff": 3.4974211249649994,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 69.38775510204083,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.15000000000000002,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -20.612244897959158,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 32.538052863498464,
    "utr_available": 0.5,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.587881467432943,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 14.603862045297072,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -15.459183673469383,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}