Taylor Fritz vs Hubert Hurkacz
United Cup | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 11:20
10 Ene 2026, 11:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Taylor Fritz
Taylor …: 74,6%
Hubert …: 25,4%
¿Por qué Taylor Fritz?
UTR 15,71 vs 15,65
(+0,09)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Taylor … | Hubert … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,00 | 57,8% |
| Gamdom | 1,89 | 1,92 | 52,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,34 | 3,93 | 74,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Taylor …: +20,9%
Hubert …: -20,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Taylor Fritz
Ranking
#9
UTR Rating
15,71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#11
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
34/50 = 68,0%
Hubert Hurkacz
Ranking
#55
UTR Rating
15,65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#14
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
7/14 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 74,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 9,2222 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,2216 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 3130,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 2,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 18,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 12,3889 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,5714 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 50,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3600 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7433 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,0385 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,8166 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,5009 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,6620 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,3166 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,2600 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -32,4700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2213 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,2167 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5172 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,3346 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,0884 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 39,9891 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1060 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0740 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 54,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9212 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9106 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,5702 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22065
API ID
15336964
Gamdom ID
584670
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22065,
"api_id": 15336964,
"gamdom_id": 584670,
"player1": "Taylor Fritz",
"player2": "Hubert Hurkacz",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-10T07:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.73,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.89,
"p2": 1.92
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.83,
"p2": 1.94
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7456,
"prob_p2": 0.2544,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7456,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 9,
"utr_singles": 15.71,
"utr_ranking": 11,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 68.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 34,
"wr_surface_total": 50,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 55,
"utr_singles": 15.65,
"utr_ranking": 14,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.71,
"ranking": 11,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.65,
"ranking": 14,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.9211764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.9105882352941177,
"utr_diff": 0.08999999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 9.222222222222221,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 30.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 3130,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.662000000000006,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -27.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 68.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.570161545771301,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 2,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.2216160304603783,
"rank_advantage": 74,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5172413793103449,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 18.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.316571428571429,
"p1_surface_matches": 50,
"p2_surface_matches": 14,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.0385428571428577,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.221276595744681,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2166666666666666,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.2599999999999998,
"combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.816571428571436,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.36,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.334618546789056,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.0883517069696,
"surface_rank_synergy": 39.98908854828681,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.50085714285715,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.5714285714285716,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -32.47,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 54.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10599999999999998,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07400000000000007,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 12.388888888888882,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}