Taylor Fritz vs Hubert Hurkacz
United Cup | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 11:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Taylor Fritz
Taylor …: 74,6% Hubert …: 25,4%
¿Por qué Taylor Fritz?
UTR 15,71 vs 15,65 (+0,09) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Taylor … Hubert … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,73 2,00 57,8%
Gamdom 1,89 1,92 52,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,34 3,93 74,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Taylor …: +20,9% Hubert …: -20,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Taylor Fritz
Ranking #9
UTR Rating 15,71 Pro
UTR Ranking #11
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 34/50 = 68,0%
Hubert Hurkacz
Ranking #55
UTR Rating 15,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #14
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 7/14 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 74,0000
rank_ratio 9,2222
log_rank_ratio 2,2216
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 3130,0000
best_rank_diff 2,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 18,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 12,3889
surface_matches_ratio 3,5714
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 68,0000
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 66,6667
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 50,0000
p2_surface_matches 14,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3600
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4867
combined_confidence 0,7433
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,0385
first_serve_won_diff 2,8166
second_serve_won_diff 0,5009
bp_saved_diff 3,6620
bp_converted_diff 6,3166
aces_per_match_diff -0,2600
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff -28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -32,4700
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2213
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,2167
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5172
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 6,3346
serve_consistency_p2 9,0884
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 39,9891
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1060
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0740
elite_surface_amplifier 54,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0900
utr_p1 0,9212
utr_p2 0,9106
utr_advantage 0,5702
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22065
API ID 15336964
Gamdom ID 584670
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22065,
    "api_id": 15336964,
    "gamdom_id": 584670,
    "player1": "Taylor Fritz",
    "player2": "Hubert Hurkacz",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-10T07:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.73,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.89,
      "p2": 1.92
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.83,
      "p2": 1.94
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7456,
    "prob_p2": 0.2544,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7456,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 9,
      "utr_singles": 15.71,
      "utr_ranking": 11,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 68.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 34,
      "wr_surface_total": 50,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 55,
      "utr_singles": 15.65,
      "utr_ranking": 14,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.71,
      "ranking": 11,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.65,
      "ranking": 14,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9211764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.9105882352941177,
    "utr_diff": 0.08999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 9.222222222222221,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 30.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 3130,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.662000000000006,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -27.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 68.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.570161545771301,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 2,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.2216160304603783,
    "rank_advantage": 74,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5172413793103449,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 18.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 6.316571428571429,
    "p1_surface_matches": 50,
    "p2_surface_matches": 14,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.0385428571428577,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.221276595744681,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2166666666666666,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.2599999999999998,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.816571428571436,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.36,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.334618546789056,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.0883517069696,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 39.98908854828681,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 66.66666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.50085714285715,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.5714285714285716,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -32.47,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 54.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10599999999999998,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07400000000000007,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 12.388888888888882,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}