Coco Gauff vs Iga Swiatek
United Cup | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 13:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Coco Gauff
Coco …: 50,1% Iga …: 49,9%
¿Por qué Coco Gauff?
UTR 12,77 vs 12,90 (-0,12) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Coco … Iga … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,44 38,1%
Gamdom 2,75 1,46 36,4%
IA Fair Odds 2,00 2,00 50,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Coco …: +14,6% Iga …: -14,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Coco Gauff
Ranking #3
UTR Rating 12,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 25/36 = 69,4%
Iga Swiatek
Ranking #2
UTR Rating 12,90 Pro
UTR Ranking #3
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 41/52 = 78,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -2,0000
rank_ratio 0,5000
log_rank_ratio -0,6931
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -1905,0000
best_rank_diff -1,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -9,4017
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,2857
surface_matches_ratio 0,6923
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 69,4444
surface_wr_p2 78,8462
surface_wr_p1_stable 67,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 76,7857
p1_surface_matches 36,0000
p2_surface_matches 52,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3889
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,3181
first_serve_won_diff 0,5058
second_serve_won_diff 1,1006
bp_saved_diff -3,1231
bp_converted_diff 2,8186
aces_per_match_diff 0,8675
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 62,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff -28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -14,1500
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6609
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0586
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7778
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5455
serve_consistency_p1 6,5927
serve_consistency_p2 10,4900
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 6,5168
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1964
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2865
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1200
utr_p1 0,5647
utr_p2 0,5788
utr_advantage -0,9331
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22066
API ID 15336966
Gamdom ID 584559
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22066,
    "api_id": 15336966,
    "gamdom_id": 584559,
    "player1": "Coco Gauff",
    "player2": "Iga Swiatek",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-10T09:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.625,
      "p2": 1.4444444444444444
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.75,
      "p2": 1.46
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.66,
      "p2": 1.45
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.501,
    "prob_p2": 0.499,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.501,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 3,
      "utr_singles": 12.77,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 69.44444444444444,
      "wr_surface_wins": 25,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 2,
      "utr_singles": 12.9,
      "utr_ranking": 3,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 78.84615384615384,
      "wr_surface_wins": 41,
      "wr_surface_total": 52,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.77,
      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.9,
      "ranking": 3,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5647058823529413,
    "utr_p2": 0.5788235294117647,
    "utr_diff": -0.11999999999999922,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -1905,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.1230769230769297,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -27.99999999999997,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 69.44444444444444,
    "surface_wr_p2": 78.84615384615384,
    "utr_advantage": -0.9331259720062148,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -1,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.6931471805599453,
    "rank_advantage": -2,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5454545454545454,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -9.401709401709397,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.8185897435897473,
    "p1_surface_matches": 36,
    "p2_surface_matches": 52,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.318119658119656,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6608996539792388,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0585585585585586,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.8675213675213675,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.5057692307692179,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3888888888888889,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.592726168844388,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.489965168010219,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 6.516768364238798,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 67.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 76.78571428571429,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.1006410256410248,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6923076923076923,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -14.149999999999991,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.19644444444444442,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.28646153846153843,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.285714285714292,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}