Coco Gauff vs Iga Swiatek
United Cup | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 13:15
10 Ene 2026, 13:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Coco Gauff
Coco …: 50,1%
Iga …: 49,9%
¿Por qué Coco Gauff?
UTR 12,77 vs 12,90
(-0,12)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Coco … | Iga … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,63 | 1,44 | 38,1% |
| Gamdom | 2,75 | 1,46 | 36,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,00 | 2,00 | 50,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Coco …: +14,6%
Iga …: -14,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Coco Gauff
Ranking
#3
UTR Rating
12,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
25/36 = 69,4%
Iga Swiatek
Ranking
#2
UTR Rating
12,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#3
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
41/52 = 78,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,6931 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1905,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -1,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -9,4017 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,2857 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6923 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 69,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 78,8462 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 67,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 76,7857 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 52,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3889 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,3181 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,5058 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,1006 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,1231 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,8186 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,8675 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -14,1500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6609 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0586 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7778 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5455 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,5927 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,4900 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 6,5168 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1964 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2865 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5788 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,9331 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22066
API ID
15336966
Gamdom ID
584559
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22066,
"api_id": 15336966,
"gamdom_id": 584559,
"player1": "Coco Gauff",
"player2": "Iga Swiatek",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-10T09:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.625,
"p2": 1.4444444444444444
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.75,
"p2": 1.46
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.66,
"p2": 1.45
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.501,
"prob_p2": 0.499,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.501,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 3,
"utr_singles": 12.77,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 69.44444444444444,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 2,
"utr_singles": 12.9,
"utr_ranking": 3,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 78.84615384615384,
"wr_surface_wins": 41,
"wr_surface_total": 52,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.77,
"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.9,
"ranking": 3,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5647058823529413,
"utr_p2": 0.5788235294117647,
"utr_diff": -0.11999999999999922,
"rank_ratio": 0.5,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -1905,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.1230769230769297,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -27.99999999999997,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 69.44444444444444,
"surface_wr_p2": 78.84615384615384,
"utr_advantage": -0.9331259720062148,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -1,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.6931471805599453,
"rank_advantage": -2,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5454545454545454,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -9.401709401709397,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.8185897435897473,
"p1_surface_matches": 36,
"p2_surface_matches": 52,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.318119658119656,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6608996539792388,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0585585585585586,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.8675213675213675,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.5057692307692179,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3888888888888889,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.592726168844388,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.489965168010219,
"surface_rank_synergy": 6.516768364238798,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 67.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 76.78571428571429,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.1006410256410248,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6923076923076923,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -14.149999999999991,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.19644444444444442,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.28646153846153843,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.285714285714292,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}