Jaroslav Pospisil vs Adam Jurajda
UTR Olomouc M01 | Carpet | Semifinals
10 Ene 2026, 15:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jaroslav Pospisil
Jaroslav …: 53,1% Adam …: 46,9%
¿Por qué Jaroslav Pospisil?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,00 — Niveles similares
Jaroslav …
W3-L3
50% WR
vs UTR 12,3
L1
Adam …
W29-L15
66% WR
vs UTR 12,1
W4
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jaroslav … Adam … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 2,90 1,31 34,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,88 2,13 53,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jaroslav Pospisil
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #1829
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Adam Jurajda
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #2061
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Jaroslav Pospisil
Record 2025 3W - 3L (50%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,3
Últimos 5:
L W L W W
Adam Jurajda
Record 2025 29W - 15L (66%)
Racha 4W
UTR Oponentes 12,1
Últimos 5:
W W W W L
Análisis Momentum
Adam Jurajda en racha: 4 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,9611
serve_consistency_p2 11,5303
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,4706
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22073
API ID 15337458
Gamdom ID 584994
Torneo UTR Olomouc M01
Superficie Carpet
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22073,
    "api_id": 15337458,
    "gamdom_id": 584994,
    "player1": "Jaroslav Pospisil",
    "player2": "Adam Jurajda",
    "tournament": "UTR Olomouc M01",
    "surface": "carpet",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-10T11:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.9,
      "p2": 1.31
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.2,
      "p2": 1.32
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5312,
    "prob_p2": 0.4688,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5312,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1829,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 3,
      "utr_v4_losses": 3,
      "utr_v4_wr": 50.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.34,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Adam Jurajda"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.8,
          "opponent_name": "Denis Petak"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.21,
          "opponent_name": "Petr Michnev"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Heorhii Shylov"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "David Knesl"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:50.507737+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2061,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 29,
      "utr_v4_losses": 15,
      "utr_v4_wr": 65.9090909090909,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.06,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jaroslav POSPISIL"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Patrik Homola"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "David Schwarc"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.74,
          "opponent_name": "Achilles Belkovics"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.6,
          "opponent_name": "Sebastian Prechtel"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:00.831531+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 1829,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 2061,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.961079890464078,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.53026420606213,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}