Roman Garkavenko vs David Knesl
UTR Olomouc M01 | Carpet | Semifinals
10 Ene 2026, 13:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
David Knesl
Roman …: 28,7% David …: 71,3%
¿Por qué David Knesl?
UTR 11,00 vs 12,00 (-1,00) — Ligera ventaja
Roman …
W15-L26
37% WR
vs UTR 12,1
L1
David …
W40-L24
62% WR
vs UTR 11,2
L3
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Roman … David … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 2,41 1,44 41,5%
IA Fair Odds 3,48 1,40 28,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Roman Garkavenko
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #4654
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 22% (9p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
David Knesl
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #3059
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Roman Garkavenko
Record 2025 15W - 26L (37%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,1
Últimos 5:
L W L W L
David Knesl
Record 2025 40W - 24L (63%)
Racha 3L
UTR Oponentes 11,2
Últimos 5:
L L L W L
Análisis Momentum
Roman Garkavenko ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,1 vs 11,2).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 10,0000
momentum_p2 22,0000
momentum_diff -12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -9,0000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,3315
serve_consistency_p2 11,5559
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,0000
utr_p1 0,3529
utr_p2 0,4706
utr_advantage -8,6957
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22077
API ID 15337465
Gamdom ID 585122
Torneo UTR Olomouc M01
Superficie Carpet
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22077,
    "api_id": 15337465,
    "gamdom_id": 585122,
    "player1": "Roman Garkavenko",
    "player2": "David Knesl",
    "tournament": "UTR Olomouc M01",
    "surface": "carpet",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-10T09:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.41,
      "p2": 1.44
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.62,
      "p2": 1.46
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2871,
    "prob_p2": 0.7129,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7129,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 4654,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 15,
      "utr_v4_losses": 26,
      "utr_v4_wr": 36.58536585365854,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.1,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.3,
          "opponent_name": "Luka Vuglar"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.51,
          "opponent_name": "Tymofii Milovanov"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Janos FEKETE"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.86,
          "opponent_name": "Enrique Bogo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.36,
          "opponent_name": "Peetu Pohjola"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:22.840502+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 22.22222222222222,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3059,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 40,
      "utr_v4_losses": 24,
      "utr_v4_wr": 62.5,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.24,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Vitek Horak"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Heorhii Shylov"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.21,
          "opponent_name": "Petr Michnev"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ond\u0159ej Hujo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jaroslav POSPISIL"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:58.944480+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 4654,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 3059,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_diff": -1.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 10.0,
    "momentum_p2": 22.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -8.695652173913043,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.331484146633919,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.555863259667134,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -9.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}