Mattia Bellucci vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
Auckland | Hard | Qualification Round 1
10 Ene 2026, 05:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mattia Bellucci
Mattia …: 71,2% Geoffrey …: 28,8%
¿Por qué Mattia Bellucci?
UTR 14,75 vs 14,00 (+0,80) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Mattia … Geoffrey … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,08 8,00 92,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,40 3,47 71,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Mattia …: -16,9% Geoffrey …: +16,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mattia Bellucci
Ranking #76
UTR Rating 14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #122
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 12/29 = 41,4%
Geoffrey Blancaneaux
Ranking #256
UTR Rating 14,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #382
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 5/14 = 35,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 183,0000
rank_ratio 3,5068
log_rank_ratio 1,2547
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 546,0000
best_rank_diff 71,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 5,6650
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,5690
surface_matches_ratio 2,0714
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 41,3793
surface_wr_p2 35,7143
surface_wr_p1_stable 42,4242
surface_wr_p2_stable 38,8889
p1_surface_matches 29,0000
p2_surface_matches 14,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1724
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9667
p2_confidence 0,4867
combined_confidence 0,7267
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,6125
first_serve_won_diff 4,1010
second_serve_won_diff 7,0293
bp_saved_diff 16,4761
bp_converted_diff 1,8291
aces_per_match_diff 2,2266
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff -40,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -25,2990
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 7,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 43,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5059
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3750
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,2887
serve_consistency_p2 8,4203
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 7,1080
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2692
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0401
elite_surface_amplifier 11,3300
UTR
utr_diff 0,8000
utr_p1 0,8012
utr_p2 0,7071
utr_advantage 5,5517
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22098
API ID 15339371
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22098,
    "api_id": 15339371,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Mattia Bellucci",
    "player2": "Geoffrey Blancaneaux",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-10T01:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.0833333333333333,
      "p2": 8.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.19,
      "p2": 4.3
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7119,
    "prob_p2": 0.2881,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7119,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 76,
      "utr_singles": 14.75,
      "utr_ranking": 122,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.37931034482759,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 256,
      "utr_singles": 14.0,
      "utr_ranking": 382,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 35.714285714285715,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.75,
      "ranking": 122,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.0,
      "ranking": 382,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8011764705882354,
    "utr_p2": 0.7070588235294117,
    "utr_diff": 0.8000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 3.506849315068493,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": 546,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 16.47610837438424,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -40.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 41.37931034482759,
    "surface_wr_p2": 35.714285714285715,
    "utr_advantage": 5.5517002081887625,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 71,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.2547180033311713,
    "rank_advantage": 183,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 5.665024630541872,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.8290640394088697,
    "p1_surface_matches": 29,
    "p2_surface_matches": 14,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.612487684729068,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5058823529411764,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.226600985221675,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7266666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.1009852216748754,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.1724137931034483,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.288719838507864,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.42032298490761,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 7.108008393255404,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.42424242424242,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 38.88888888888889,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 7.029310344827593,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.0714285714285716,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -25.299,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 11.330049261083744,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 43,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2692068965517242,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0401428571428572,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.5690235690235648,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}