Mattia Bellucci vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
Auckland | Hard | Qualification Round 1
10 Ene 2026, 05:50
10 Ene 2026, 05:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mattia Bellucci
Mattia …: 71,2%
Geoffrey …: 28,8%
¿Por qué Mattia Bellucci?
UTR 14,75 vs 14,00
(+0,80)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mattia … | Geoffrey … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,08 | 8,00 | 92,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,40 | 3,47 | 71,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Mattia …: -16,9%
Geoffrey …: +16,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mattia Bellucci
Ranking
#76
UTR Rating
14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#122
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
12/29 = 41,4%
Geoffrey Blancaneaux
Ranking
#256
UTR Rating
14,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#382
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
5/14 = 35,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 183,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,5068 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,2547 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 546,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 71,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 5,6650 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,5690 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,0714 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 41,3793 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 35,7143 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42,4242 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 38,8889 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1724 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7267 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,6125 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,1010 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7,0293 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 16,4761 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,8291 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,2266 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -40,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -25,2990 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 43,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5059 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3750 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,2887 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,4203 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 7,1080 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2692 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0401 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 11,3300 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,8000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8012 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7071 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,5517 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22098
API ID
15339371
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22098,
"api_id": 15339371,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Mattia Bellucci",
"player2": "Geoffrey Blancaneaux",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-10T01:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.0833333333333333,
"p2": 8.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.19,
"p2": 4.3
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7119,
"prob_p2": 0.2881,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7119,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 76,
"utr_singles": 14.75,
"utr_ranking": 122,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.37931034482759,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 256,
"utr_singles": 14.0,
"utr_ranking": 382,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 35.714285714285715,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.75,
"ranking": 122,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.0,
"ranking": 382,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8011764705882354,
"utr_p2": 0.7070588235294117,
"utr_diff": 0.8000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 3.506849315068493,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": 546,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 16.47610837438424,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -40.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 41.37931034482759,
"surface_wr_p2": 35.714285714285715,
"utr_advantage": 5.5517002081887625,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 71,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.2547180033311713,
"rank_advantage": 183,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 5.665024630541872,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.8290640394088697,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 14,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.612487684729068,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5058823529411764,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.226600985221675,
"combined_confidence": 0.7266666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.1009852216748754,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.1724137931034483,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.288719838507864,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.42032298490761,
"surface_rank_synergy": 7.108008393255404,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.42424242424242,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 38.88888888888889,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.029310344827593,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.0714285714285716,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -25.299,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 11.330049261083744,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 43,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2692068965517242,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0401428571428572,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.5690235690235648,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}