Patrick Kypson vs Emilio Nava
Auckland | Hard | Qualification Round 1
10 Ene 2026, 06:40
10 Ene 2026, 06:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Patrick Kypson
Patrick …: 57,0%
Emilio …: 43,0%
¿Por qué Patrick Kypson?
UTR 14,80 vs 14,99
(-0,20)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Patrick … | Emilio … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,00 | 1,73 | 50,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,05 | 1,69 | 48,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,76 | 2,32 | 57,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Patrick …: +10,6%
Emilio …: -10,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Patrick Kypson
Ranking
#116
UTR Rating
14,80 Pro
UTR Ranking
#117
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
38/51 = 74,5%
Emilio Nava
Ranking
#89
UTR Rating
14,99 Pro
UTR Ranking
#92
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
8/15 = 53,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -30,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7458 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2933 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -157,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -29,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 21,1765 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15,0718 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,4000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 74,5098 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 72,7273 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,6316 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 51,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 15,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4902 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,7335 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,7529 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,1824 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,7824 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 8,3353 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,0824 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 17,3900 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6585 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7143 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,9414 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,6896 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -6,2121 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2751 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0033 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7882 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8118 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,3514 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22099
API ID
15339372
Gamdom ID
586532
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22099,
"api_id": 15339372,
"gamdom_id": 586532,
"player1": "Patrick Kypson",
"player2": "Emilio Nava",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-10T02:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.7272727272727273
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.05,
"p2": 1.69
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.09,
"p2": 1.71
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5697,
"prob_p2": 0.4303,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5697,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 116,
"utr_singles": 14.8,
"utr_ranking": 117,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 74.50980392156863,
"wr_surface_wins": 38,
"wr_surface_total": 51,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 89,
"utr_singles": 14.99,
"utr_ranking": 92,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.8,
"ranking": 117,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.99,
"ranking": 92,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7882352941176469,
"utr_p2": 0.8117647058823529,
"utr_diff": -0.20000000000000107,
"rank_ratio": 0.7457627118644068,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"points_diff": -157,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.7823529411764696,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 22.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.5,
"surface_wr_p1": 74.50980392156863,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.333333333333336,
"utr_advantage": -1.3513513513513586,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -29,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.2933478099874583,
"rank_advantage": -30,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.55,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 21.176470588235297,
"bp_converted_diff": 8.33529411764706,
"p1_surface_matches": 51,
"p2_surface_matches": 15,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.7335294117646924,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6585365853658537,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.0823529411764703,
"combined_confidence": 0.75,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.7529411764705998,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.49019607843137253,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.94138467316916,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.689592699018506,
"surface_rank_synergy": -6.212071270322647,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.72727272727273,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.63157894736842,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.182352941176468,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.4,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 17.390000000000008,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2750980392156863,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0033333333333332993,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.071770334928237,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3
},
"feature_importance": {}
}