Patrick Kypson vs Emilio Nava
Auckland | Hard | Qualification Round 1
10 Ene 2026, 06:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Patrick Kypson
Patrick …: 57,0% Emilio …: 43,0%
¿Por qué Patrick Kypson?
UTR 14,80 vs 14,99 (-0,20) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Patrick … Emilio … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,00 1,73 50,0%
Gamdom 2,05 1,69 48,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,76 2,32 57,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Patrick …: +10,6% Emilio …: -10,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Patrick Kypson
Ranking #116
UTR Rating 14,80 Pro
UTR Ranking #117
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 38/51 = 74,5%
Emilio Nava
Ranking #89
UTR Rating 14,99 Pro
UTR Ranking #92
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 8/15 = 53,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -30,0000
rank_ratio 0,7458
log_rank_ratio -0,2933
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -157,0000
best_rank_diff -29,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 21,1765
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 15,0718
surface_matches_ratio 3,4000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 3,0000
surface_wr_p1 74,5098
surface_wr_p2 53,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 72,7273
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,6316
p1_surface_matches 51,0000
p2_surface_matches 15,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4902
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,5000
combined_confidence 0,7500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,7335
first_serve_won_diff 1,7529
second_serve_won_diff 5,1824
bp_saved_diff 0,7824
bp_converted_diff 8,3353
aces_per_match_diff -2,0824
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff 22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 17,3900
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 4,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6585
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7143
serve_consistency_p1 4,9414
serve_consistency_p2 8,6896
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -6,2121
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2751
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0033
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2000
utr_p1 0,7882
utr_p2 0,8118
utr_advantage -1,3514
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22099
API ID 15339372
Gamdom ID 586532
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22099,
    "api_id": 15339372,
    "gamdom_id": 586532,
    "player1": "Patrick Kypson",
    "player2": "Emilio Nava",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-10T02:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.7272727272727273
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.05,
      "p2": 1.69
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.09,
      "p2": 1.71
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5697,
    "prob_p2": 0.4303,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5697,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 116,
      "utr_singles": 14.8,
      "utr_ranking": 117,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 74.50980392156863,
      "wr_surface_wins": 38,
      "wr_surface_total": 51,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 89,
      "utr_singles": 14.99,
      "utr_ranking": 92,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 15,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.8,
      "ranking": 117,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.99,
      "ranking": 92,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7882352941176469,
    "utr_p2": 0.8117647058823529,
    "utr_diff": -0.20000000000000107,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7457627118644068,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": -157,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.7823529411764696,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 22.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_p1": 74.50980392156863,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.333333333333336,
    "utr_advantage": -1.3513513513513586,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -29,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.2933478099874583,
    "rank_advantage": -30,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.55,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 21.176470588235297,
    "bp_converted_diff": 8.33529411764706,
    "p1_surface_matches": 51,
    "p2_surface_matches": 15,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.7335294117646924,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6585365853658537,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.0823529411764703,
    "combined_confidence": 0.75,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.7529411764705998,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.49019607843137253,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.94138467316916,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.689592699018506,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -6.212071270322647,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.72727272727273,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.63157894736842,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.182352941176468,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.4,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 17.390000000000008,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2750980392156863,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0033333333333332993,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.071770334928237,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}