Marko Maksimovic vs Nikola Lulic
UTR Belgrade M01 | Clay |
16 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marko Maksimovic
Marko …: 64,5% Nikola …: 35,5%
¿Por qué Marko Maksimovic?
UTR 13,09 vs 12,00 (+1,05) — Ligera ventaja
Marko …
W40-L31
56% WR
vs UTR 12,9
W1
Nikola …
W14-L42
25% WR
vs UTR 12,3
W1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Marko … Nikola … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,01 7,84 99,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,55 2,82 64,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marko Maksimovic
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,09 General
UTR Ranking #1328
Forma L5 100% (3p)
Forma L10 100% (3p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Nikola Lulic
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #1881
Forma L5 67% (3p)
Forma L10 67% (3p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Marko Maksimovic
Record 2025 40W - 31L (56%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 12,9
Últimos 5:
W L W L L
Nikola Lulic
Record 2025 14W - 42L (25%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 12,3
Últimos 5:
W L W L L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,0500
utr_p1 0,5941
utr_p2 0,4706
utr_advantage 8,3832
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22159
API ID 15336876
Gamdom ID 584541
Torneo UTR Belgrade M01
Superficie Clay
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22159,
    "api_id": 15336876,
    "gamdom_id": 584541,
    "player1": "Marko Maksimovic",
    "player2": "Nikola Lulic",
    "tournament": "UTR Belgrade M01",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-16T08:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.01,
      "p2": 7.84
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.11,
      "p2": 9.71
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6449,
    "prob_p2": 0.3551,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6449,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.09,
      "utr_ranking": 1328,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 40,
      "utr_v4_losses": 31,
      "utr_v4_wr": 56.33802816901409,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.92,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.78,
          "opponent_name": "Radu Mihai Papoe"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.69,
          "opponent_name": "Andrey Chepelev"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.66,
          "opponent_name": "Kerem Yilmaz"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.14,
          "opponent_name": "Felix Gill"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.14,
          "opponent_name": "Felix Gill"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:37.834406+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1881,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 14,
      "utr_v4_losses": 42,
      "utr_v4_wr": 25.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.33,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Joshua Leon-Nestler"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.79,
          "opponent_name": "Rafael Giotis"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.59,
          "opponent_name": "Charles Dossetter"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.72,
          "opponent_name": "Alessandro Spadola"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.79,
          "opponent_name": "Daniel Uta"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:01.137602+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.09,
      "ranking": 1328,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 1881,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5941176470588236,
    "utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_diff": 1.0500000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 8.383233532934137,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}