Emiliana Arango vs Rebecca Sramkova
Merida | Hard | Quarterfinals
01 Mar 2025, 02:05
01 Mar 2025, 02:05
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Emiliana … | Rebecca … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Emiliana Arango
Ranking
#51
UTR Rating
11,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#124
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
17/31 = 54,8%
Rebecca Sramkova
Ranking
#73
UTR Rating
12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#101
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
15/36 = 41,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 22,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,4314 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3586 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 235,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -13,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0,5059 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,4615 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7568 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49,1871 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 49,6930 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 46,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,1282 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 56,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 74,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0714 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,7262 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,4889 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,7473 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,0572 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,5924 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,4288 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 5,7500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5556 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,4038 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,1952 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,7590 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,1814 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0301 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0189 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4729 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,0033 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
2216
API ID
13499174
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Merida
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 2216,
"api_id": 13499174,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Emiliana Arango",
"player2": "Rebecca Sramkova",
"tournament": "Merida",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-02-28T22:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 51,
"utr_singles": 11.9,
"utr_ranking": 124,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.83870967741935,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 73,
"utr_singles": 12.02,
"utr_ranking": 101,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.9,
"ranking": 124,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.02,
"ranking": 101,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 22,
"rank_ratio": 1.4313725490196079,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.3586338084240654,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 235,
"best_rank_diff": -13,
"surface_wr_diff": -0.5058856819468076,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.461538461538467,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7567567567567568,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 49.18709677419354,
"surface_wr_p2": 49.69298245614035,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 46.666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.12820512820513,
"p1_surface_matches": 56,
"p2_surface_matches": 74,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.07142857142857142,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.726232620260326,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.4889403508771935,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.747312280701756,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.0572280701754337,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.592385964912282,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.4287843803056024,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"momentum_diff": 27.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 5.749999999999986,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.40384615384615385,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.1951581359962296,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.7589837853368127,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.18142770874378908,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.030129032258064625,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.01892982456140352,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.11999999999999922,
"utr_p1": 0.45882352941176474,
"utr_p2": 0.4729411764705882,
"utr_advantage": -1.0033444816053445,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}