Rasmus Hembo Mathiasen vs Deni Zmak
UTR Carvoeiro M01 | Hard |
12 Ene 2026, 17:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Deni Zmak
Rasmus …: 31,1% Deni …: 68,9%
¿Por qué Deni Zmak?
UTR 12,00 vs 13,00 (-1,00) — Ligera ventaja
Rasmus …
W55-L18
75% WR
vs UTR 10,9
W2
Deni …
W20-L7
74% WR
vs UTR 12,6
L1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Rasmus … Deni … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 3,22 1,45 31,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Rasmus Hembo Mathiasen
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #3410
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 33% (6p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Deni Zmak
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #765
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Rasmus Hembo Mathiasen
Record 2025 55W - 18L (75%)
Racha 2W
UTR Oponentes 10,9
Últimos 5:
W W L W W
Deni Zmak
Record 2025 20W - 7L (74%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,6
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
Análisis Momentum
Deni Zmak ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,6 vs 10,9).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,3500
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 59,1837
momentum_diff -9,1837
weighted_momentum_diff -6,8878
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 22,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 22,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,8743
serve_consistency_p2 8,8076
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,0000
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,5882
utr_advantage -8,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22175
API ID 15337399
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR Carvoeiro M01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22175,
    "api_id": 15337399,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Rasmus Hembo Mathiasen",
    "player2": "Deni Zmak",
    "tournament": "UTR Carvoeiro M01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-12T13:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 29.0,
      "p2": NaN
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3106,
    "prob_p2": 0.6894,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6894,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3410,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 55,
      "utr_v4_losses": 18,
      "utr_v4_wr": 75.34246575342466,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.89,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Andr\u00e9 Biciusca Meinertz"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Christian Samuelsson"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.05,
          "opponent_name": "Saba George Nanobashvili"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Henrik Aamann"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Eivind Roeed Rise"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:17.675941+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.0,
      "utr_ranking": 765,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 20,
      "utr_v4_losses": 7,
      "utr_v4_wr": 74.07407407407408,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.6,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.0,
          "opponent_name": "Radu David Turcanu"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.01,
          "opponent_name": "Ali Habib"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.21,
          "opponent_name": "Mirko Martinez"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.11,
          "opponent_name": "Maximilian Homberg"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.84,
          "opponent_name": "Marcel Volz"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:01.332445+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 3410,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.0,
      "ranking": 765,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.5882352941176471,
    "utr_diff": -1.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 59.183673469387756,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.35,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -9.183673469387756,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -8.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.874289018116556,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.807640909281366,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -6.887755102040813,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 22,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 22,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}