Daria Saville vs Paula Badosa
Merida | Hard | Quarterfinals
01 Mar 2025, 01:50
01 Mar 2025, 01:50
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daria … | Paula … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daria Saville
Ranking
#200
UTR Rating
11.53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#232
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
20/40 = 50.0%
Paula Badosa
Ranking
#25
UTR Rating
12.60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#13
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
39/60 = 65.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -175.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.1250 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2.0794 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -1309.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -18.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -13.8900 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -14.0625 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.6667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61.8900 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 64.0625 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 40.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 60.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -11.4699 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -8.8152 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4.2701 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -8.9905 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1.7752 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2.8906 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2.8800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6308 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.9567 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6250 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7.6261 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11.5074 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 28.8833 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1550 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0561 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1.0700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4153 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5412 | |
| utr_advantage | -8.8686 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
2218
API ID
13499183
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Merida
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 2218,
"api_id": 13499183,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Daria Saville",
"player2": "Paula Badosa",
"tournament": "Merida",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-03-01T01:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 200,
"utr_singles": 11.53,
"utr_ranking": 232,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 25,
"utr_singles": 12.6,
"utr_ranking": 13,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 39,
"wr_surface_total": 60,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 232,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.6,
"ranking": 13,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.125,
"log_rank_ratio": -2.0794415416798357,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -1309,
"best_rank_diff": -18,
"surface_wr_diff": -13.889952153110045,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.0625,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6666666666666666,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.889952153110045,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.0625,
"p1_surface_matches": 40,
"p2_surface_matches": 60,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -11.469917464114836,
"first_serve_won_diff": -8.81517224880384,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.270131578947371,
"bp_saved_diff": -8.990461722488035,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.7751913875598078,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.890645933014354,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"momentum_diff": 29.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.8799999999999955,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6307692307692307,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9566787003610109,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.6261158814362755,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.507377317864057,
"surface_rank_synergy": 28.883343519122306,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15500000000000003,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05610047846889965,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -1.0700000000000003,
"utr_p1": 0.41529411764705876,
"utr_p2": 0.5411764705882353,
"utr_advantage": -8.868628263572319,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}