Daria Saville vs Paula Badosa
Merida | Hard | Quarterfinals
01 Mar 2025, 05:50
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Daria … Paula … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daria Saville
Ranking #198
UTR Rating 11,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #227
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 9/20 = 45,0%
Paula Badosa
Ranking #26
UTR Rating 12,62 Pro
UTR Ranking #12
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 13/22 = 59,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -172,0000
rank_ratio 0,1313
log_rank_ratio -2,0302
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -1311,0000
best_rank_diff -18,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -13,8900
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -14,0625
surface_matches_ratio 0,6667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 48,0000
surface_wr_p2 61,8900
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 64,0625
p1_surface_matches 40,0000
p2_surface_matches 60,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -11,4699
first_serve_won_diff -8,8152
second_serve_won_diff -4,2701
bp_saved_diff -8,9905
bp_converted_diff 1,7752
aces_per_match_diff -2,8906
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff 30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 2,8800
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6308
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9567
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6250
serve_consistency_p1 7,6261
serve_consistency_p2 11,5074
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 28,1990
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1520
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0531
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,0600
utr_p1 0,4188
utr_p2 0,5435
utr_advantage -8,7676
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 2218
API ID 13499183
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Merida
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 2218,
    "api_id": 13499183,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Daria Saville",
    "player2": "Paula Badosa",
    "tournament": "Merida",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-03-01T01:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 198,
      "utr_singles": 11.56,
      "utr_ranking": 227,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 45.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 26,
      "utr_singles": 12.62,
      "utr_ranking": 12,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 22,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 227,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.62,
      "ranking": 12,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "rank_ratio": 0.13131313131313133,
    "log_rank_ratio": -2.030170492673053,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "points_diff": -1311,
    "best_rank_diff": -18,
    "surface_wr_diff": -13.889952153110045,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.0625,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6666666666666666,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 48.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 61.889952153110045,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.0625,
    "p1_surface_matches": 40,
    "p2_surface_matches": 60,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -11.469917464114836,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -8.81517224880384,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.270131578947371,
    "bp_saved_diff": -8.990461722488035,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.7751913875598078,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.890645933014354,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "momentum_diff": 29.999999999999986,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 2.8799999999999955,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6307692307692307,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9566787003610109,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.6261158814362755,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.507377317864057,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 28.19897100588455,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15200000000000002,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05310047846889965,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": -1.0599999999999987,
    "utr_p1": 0.41882352941176476,
    "utr_p2": 0.5435294117647058,
    "utr_advantage": -8.767576509511983,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}