Aleksandra Stevanovic vs Diana Marcinkevica
UTR Carvoeiro W01 | Hard |
12 Ene 2026, 13:00
12 Ene 2026, 13:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Diana Marcinkevica
Aleksandra …: 27,3%
Diana …: 72,7%
¿Por qué Diana Marcinkevica?
UTR 9,00 vs 10,19
(-1,24)
— Ligera ventaja
Aleksandra …
W21-L29
42% WR
vs UTR 9,0
L2
Diana …
W26-L35
43% WR
vs UTR 10,1
W3
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aleksandra … | Diana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 3,58 | 1,16 | 27,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,66 | 1,38 | 27,3% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aleksandra Stevanovic
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,00 General
UTR Ranking
#3774
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Diana Marcinkevica
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#953
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Aleksandra Stevanovic
Record 2025
21W - 29L (42%)
Racha
2L
UTR Oponentes
9,0
Últimos 5:
L
L
W
L
L
Diana Marcinkevica
Record 2025
26W - 35L (43%)
Racha
3W
UTR Oponentes
10,1
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
L
W
Análisis Momentum
Diana Marcinkevica viene en racha ganadora (3W) mientras Aleksandra Stevanovic perdió 2 seguidos.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 23,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,3031 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,2400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,1176 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,2635 | |
| utr_advantage | -12,8898 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22216
API ID
15337079
Gamdom ID
584767
Torneo
UTR Carvoeiro W01
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22216,
"api_id": 15337079,
"gamdom_id": 584767,
"player1": "Aleksandra Stevanovic",
"player2": "Diana Marcinkevica",
"tournament": "UTR Carvoeiro W01",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-12T09:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.58,
"p2": 1.16
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 7.0,
"p2": 1.06
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2731,
"prob_p2": 0.7269,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7269,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.0,
"utr_ranking": 3774,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 21,
"utr_v4_losses": 29,
"utr_v4_wr": 42.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.04,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Yana Tsion Leonova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Ana Vilcek"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.4,
"opponent_name": "Emma Mazzoni"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Nikola Homolkov\u00e1"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Azzurra Cremonini"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:07.433923+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.19,
"utr_ranking": 953,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 26,
"utr_v4_losses": 35,
"utr_v4_wr": 42.62295081967213,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.14,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.41,
"opponent_name": "Milana Maslenkova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "ALBA SALLES CANUDAS"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.14,
"opponent_name": "Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.19,
"opponent_name": "Alessandra Mazzola"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.34,
"opponent_name": "Isabella Harvison"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:01.571396+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 9.0,
"ranking": 3774,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.19,
"ranking": 953,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.11764705882352941,
"utr_p2": 0.2635294117647059,
"utr_diff": -1.2400000000000002,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 19.999999999999996,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -12.889812889812891,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.303102158834424,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 23,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}