Alexandre Muller vs Marcos Giron
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 05:40
13 Ene 2026, 05:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marcos Giron
Alexandre …: 46,7%
Marcos …: 53,3%
¿Por qué Marcos Giron?
UTR 15,12 vs 15,30
(-0,18)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexandre … | Marcos … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,67 | 45,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,04 | 1,79 | 49,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,14 | 1,88 | 46,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexandre …: +3,6%
Marcos …: -3,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexandre Muller
Ranking
#52
UTR Rating
15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking
#76
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
11/25 = 44,0%
Marcos Giron
Ranking
#51
UTR Rating
15,30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
12/28 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 12,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2308 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2076 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 135,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -1,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1,1429 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,9519 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8929 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 44,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 44,8276 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,7500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1200 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6,1954 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,2943 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,2371 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,1131 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0037 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,0386 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -52,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -33,4200 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5823 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9215 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4545 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,2968 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,1772 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,2373 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0720 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0594 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8435 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8647 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,1796 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22221
API ID
15340324
Gamdom ID
586889
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22221,
"api_id": 15340324,
"gamdom_id": 586889,
"player1": "Alexandre Muller",
"player2": "Marcos Giron",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-13T01:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.67
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.04,
"p2": 1.79
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.05,
"p2": 1.76
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4671,
"prob_p2": 0.5329,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5329,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 52,
"utr_singles": 15.12,
"utr_ranking": 76,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 51,
"utr_singles": 15.3,
"utr_ranking": 54,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.12,
"ranking": 76,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.3,
"ranking": 54,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8647058823529411,
"utr_diff": -0.17999999999999972,
"rank_ratio": 1.2307692307692308,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"points_diff": 135,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.1131428571428472,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -52.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 44.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": -1.179554390563563,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -1,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.20763936477824455,
"rank_advantage": 12,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.45454545454545453,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.142857142857146,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.0037142857142882235,
"p1_surface_matches": 25,
"p2_surface_matches": 28,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.195428571428572,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5822784810126582,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9214659685863874,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.0385714285714287,
"combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.2942857142857065,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.12,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.296787356784046,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.1772454019231215,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.23730213117513727,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.827586206896555,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.237142857142878,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8928571428571429,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -33.42,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07200000000000001,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05942857142857144,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.951867816091957,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}