Francisco Comesaña vs Valentin Royer
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 05:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Valentin Royer
Francisco …: 44,3% Valentin …: 55,7%
¿Por qué Valentin Royer?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Francisco … Valentin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,67 45,5%
IA Fair Odds 2,26 1,80 44,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Francisco …: +1,2% Valentin …: -1,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Francisco Comesaña
Ranking #68
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 11/22 = 50,0%
Valentin Royer
Ranking #58
UTR Rating 15,09 Pro
UTR Ranking #79
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 24/40 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -10,0000
rank_ratio 0,8485
log_rank_ratio -0,1643
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -95,0000
best_rank_diff 2,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -10,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -7,8788
surface_matches_ratio 0,5500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 60,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 59,0909
p1_surface_matches 22,0000
p2_surface_matches 40,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,8667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,4362
first_serve_won_diff -0,9182
second_serve_won_diff -7,6218
bp_saved_diff 1,3018
bp_converted_diff 2,9473
aces_per_match_diff 3,0909
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff 26,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 19,0000
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 4,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1513
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5294
serve_consistency_p1 6,0336
serve_consistency_p2 8,0595
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,6430
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0100
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0900
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8471
utr_p2 0,8471
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22222
API ID 15340331
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22222,
    "api_id": 15340331,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Francisco Comesa\u00f1a",
    "player2": "Valentin Royer",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-12T01:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.67
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4432,
    "prob_p2": 0.5568,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5568,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 68,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 22,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 58,
      "utr_singles": 15.09,
      "utr_ranking": 79,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 40,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.09,
      "ranking": 79,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8470588235294116,
    "utr_p2": 0.8470588235294116,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8484848484848485,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": -95,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.3018181818181773,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 26.000000000000004,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 2,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.1643030512912763,
    "rank_advantage": -10,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5294117647058824,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -10.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.9472727272727326,
    "p1_surface_matches": 22,
    "p2_surface_matches": 40,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.4361818181818222,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1512605042016806,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.0909090909090917,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.9181818181818215,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.033619677943738,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.059529753571988,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.643030512912763,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.09090909090909,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -7.621818181818178,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.55,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 19.000000000000007,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.010000000000000009,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08999999999999997,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.878787878787882,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}