Francisco Comesaña vs Valentin Royer
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 05:10
12 Ene 2026, 05:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Valentin Royer
Francisco …: 44,3%
Valentin …: 55,7%
¿Por qué Valentin Royer?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Francisco … | Valentin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,67 | 45,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,26 | 1,80 | 44,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Francisco …: +1,2%
Valentin …: -1,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Francisco Comesaña
Ranking
#68
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
11/22 = 50,0%
Valentin Royer
Ranking
#58
UTR Rating
15,09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#79
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
24/40 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -10,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8485 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1643 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -95,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 2,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -10,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7,8788 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59,0909 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 22,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 40,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,4362 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,9182 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7,6218 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,3018 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,9473 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,0909 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 26,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 19,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1513 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5294 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,0336 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,0595 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,6430 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0100 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0900 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8471 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8471 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22222
API ID
15340331
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22222,
"api_id": 15340331,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Francisco Comesa\u00f1a",
"player2": "Valentin Royer",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-12T01:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.67
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4432,
"prob_p2": 0.5568,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5568,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 68,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 22,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 58,
"utr_singles": 15.09,
"utr_ranking": 79,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.09,
"ranking": 79,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8470588235294116,
"utr_p2": 0.8470588235294116,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.8484848484848485,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": -95,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.3018181818181773,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 26.000000000000004,
"p1_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 2,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.1643030512912763,
"rank_advantage": -10,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5294117647058824,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -10.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.9472727272727326,
"p1_surface_matches": 22,
"p2_surface_matches": 40,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.4361818181818222,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1512605042016806,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.0909090909090917,
"combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.9181818181818215,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.033619677943738,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.059529753571988,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.643030512912763,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.09090909090909,
"second_serve_won_diff": -7.621818181818178,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.55,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 19.000000000000007,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.010000000000000009,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08999999999999997,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.878787878787882,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}