Fábián Marozsán vs Gael Monfils
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 09:00
13 Ene 2026, 09:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Gael Monfils
Fábián …: 45,3%
Gael …: 54,7%
¿Por qué Gael Monfils?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Fábián … | Gael … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,91 | 52,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,21 | 1,83 | 45,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Fábián …: -4,7%
Gael …: +4,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Fábián Marozsán
Ranking
#47
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
16/31 = 51,6%
Gael Monfils
Ranking
#110
UTR Rating
15,37 Pro
UTR Ranking
#37
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
14/23 = 60,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 16,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3019 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2638 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 175,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -30,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -9,2567 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6,9171 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3478 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,6129 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,8696 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59,2593 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0323 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -11,0826 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,5258 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,8613 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,5516 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,9290 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,5806 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 12,3810 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 114,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1456 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,4410 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3529 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,8487 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,8175 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2,4420 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0001 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1247 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8906 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8906 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22223
API ID
15340329
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22223,
"api_id": 15340329,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "F\u00e1bi\u00e1n Marozs\u00e1n",
"player2": "Gael Monfils",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-13T05:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9100000000000001,
"p2": 1.9100000000000001
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4527,
"prob_p2": 0.5473,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5473,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 47,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 110,
"utr_singles": 15.37,
"utr_ranking": 37,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.86956521739131,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.37,
"ranking": 37,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8905882352941177,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.3018867924528301,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 10.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 175,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.5516129032258092,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 10.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.61290322580645,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.86956521739131,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -30,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.2638145910451375,
"rank_advantage": 16,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -9.256661991584863,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.929032258064513,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"serve_quality_diff": -11.082580645161293,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.145631067961165,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.4409937888198758,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.580645161290323,
"combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.525806451612908,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.03225806451612903,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.848742572103487,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.817468980906438,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.442042497753029,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.42857142857142,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.25925925925925,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.8612903225806434,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3478260869565217,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 12.381000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 114,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0001290322580644876,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1246956521739131,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.917107583774249,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}