Fábián Marozsán vs Gael Monfils
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 09:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Gael Monfils
Fábián …: 45,3% Gael …: 54,7%
¿Por qué Gael Monfils?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Fábián … Gael … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,91 1,91 52,4%
IA Fair Odds 2,21 1,83 45,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Fábián …: -4,7% Gael …: +4,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Fábián Marozsán
Ranking #47
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 16/31 = 51,6%
Gael Monfils
Ranking #110
UTR Rating 15,37 Pro
UTR Ranking #37
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 14/23 = 60,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 16,0000
rank_ratio 1,3019
log_rank_ratio 0,2638
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 175,0000
best_rank_diff -30,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -9,2567
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -6,9171
surface_matches_ratio 1,3478
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,6129
surface_wr_p2 60,8696
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,4286
surface_wr_p2_stable 59,2593
p1_surface_matches 31,0000
p2_surface_matches 23,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0323
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,7667
combined_confidence 0,8833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -11,0826
first_serve_won_diff -5,5258
second_serve_won_diff -3,8613
bp_saved_diff 2,5516
bp_converted_diff -2,9290
aces_per_match_diff -3,5806
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 10,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 12,3810
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 114,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1456
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,4410
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3529
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 3,8487
serve_consistency_p2 6,8175
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2,4420
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0001
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1247
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8906
utr_p2 0,8906
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22223
API ID 15340329
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22223,
    "api_id": 15340329,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "F\u00e1bi\u00e1n Marozs\u00e1n",
    "player2": "Gael Monfils",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-13T05:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.9100000000000001,
      "p2": 1.9100000000000001
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4527,
    "prob_p2": 0.5473,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5473,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 47,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 110,
      "utr_singles": 15.37,
      "utr_ranking": 37,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.86956521739131,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "division": "Pro",
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  },
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    "points_diff": 175,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
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    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
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    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.61290322580645,
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    "match_load_diff": 1,
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    "bp_converted_diff": -2.929032258064513,
    "p1_surface_matches": 31,
    "p2_surface_matches": 23,
    "serve_quality_diff": -11.082580645161293,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.145631067961165,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.4409937888198758,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.580645161290323,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.525806451612908,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.03225806451612903,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.848742572103487,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.817468980906438,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -2.442042497753029,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.42857142857142,
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    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.8612903225806434,
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    "days_since_last_match_p2": 114,
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    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
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  "feature_importance": {}
}