Jenson Brooksby vs James Watt
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 04:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jenson Brooksby
Jenson …: 83,7% James …: 16,4%
¿Por qué Jenson Brooksby?
UTR 15,32 vs 13,76 (+1,66) — Ligera ventaja
Jenson …
Sin datos
James …
W21-L20
51% WR
vs UTR 13,5
L1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jenson … James … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,07 9,00 93,5%
Gamdom 1,07 8,60 93,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,20 6,12 83,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Jenson …: -5,7% James …: +5,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jenson Brooksby
Ranking #48
UTR Rating 15,32 Pro
UTR Ranking #47
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 10/23 = 43,5%
James Watt
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,76 Pro
UTR Ranking #520
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Hard 1/2 = 50,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Jenson Brooksby
Sin datos UTR v4
James Watt
Record 2025 21W - 20L (51%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 13,5
Últimos 5:
L W W W L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 451,0000
rank_ratio 10,2041
log_rank_ratio 2,3228
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 1017,0000
best_rank_diff 467,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -6,5217
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,0370
surface_matches_ratio 11,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 43,4783
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 44,4444
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 23,0000
p2_surface_matches 2,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1304
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7667
p2_confidence 0,3267
combined_confidence 0,5467
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 57,7365
first_serve_won_diff 69,4043
second_serve_won_diff 52,1435
bp_saved_diff 63,2913
bp_converted_diff 41,3478
aces_per_match_diff 3,6957
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1000
last3_wr_diff -0,1667
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 42,8571
momentum_diff -20,8571
weighted_momentum_diff -7,5129
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 77,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 131,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9576
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7143
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,5352
serve_consistency_p2 5,0811
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -15,1486
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5162
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,4510
elite_surface_amplifier -19,5652
UTR
utr_diff 1,6600
utr_p1 0,8741
utr_p2 0,6788
utr_advantage 11,3699
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22224
API ID 15340327
Gamdom ID 586891
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22224,
    "api_id": 15340327,
    "gamdom_id": 586891,
    "player1": "Jenson Brooksby",
    "player2": "James Watt",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-12T00:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.07,
      "p2": 9.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.07,
      "p2": 8.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.07,
      "p2": 8.38
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8365,
    "prob_p2": 0.1635,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8365,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 48,
      "utr_singles": 15.32,
      "utr_ranking": 47,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 43.47826086956522,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.76,
      "utr_ranking": 520,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 21,
      "utr_v4_losses": 20,
      "utr_v4_wr": 51.21951219512195,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.45,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.4,
          "opponent_name": "Yuki Mochizuki"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.34,
          "opponent_name": "Ryotaro Taguchi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.85,
          "opponent_name": "Zura Tkemaladze"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.42,
          "opponent_name": "Aleksandre Bakshi"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.45,
          "opponent_name": "Filip Peliwo"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:48.838921+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.32,
      "ranking": 47,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 520,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": 1.6600000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 10.204081632653061,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 42.85714285714286,
    "points_diff": 1017,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 63.29130434782609,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -20.85714285714286,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 43.47826086956522,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 11.369863013698632,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 467,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.322787800311565,
    "rank_advantage": 451,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -6.521739130434781,
    "bp_converted_diff": 41.34782608695652,
    "p1_surface_matches": 23,
    "p2_surface_matches": 2,
    "serve_quality_diff": 57.73652173913043,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9576271186440678,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.6956521739130435,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5466666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 69.40434782608695,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
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    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.13043478260869565,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.535230692895807,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.081098973849716,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -15.148616088988463,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.44444444444444,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 52.14347826086957,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 11.5,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -7.512857142857136,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -19.565217391304344,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 77,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 131,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5162173913043477,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.45099999999999996,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.0370370370370376,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}