Nuno Borges vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 11:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Nuno …: 44,4% Tomas …: 55,6%
¿Por qué Tomas Martin Etcheverry?
UTR 15,18 vs 15,29 (-0,10) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Nuno … Tomas … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,91 1,91 52,4%
Gamdom 1,85 1,96 54,1%
IA Fair Odds 2,25 1,80 44,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Nuno …: -5,6% Tomas …: +5,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nuno Borges
Ranking #46
UTR Rating 15,18 Pro
UTR Ranking #64
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 18/35 = 51,4%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Ranking #62
UTR Rating 15,29 Pro
UTR Ranking #52
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 14/26 = 53,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 12,0000
rank_ratio 1,2667
log_rank_ratio 0,2364
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 225,0000
best_rank_diff -3,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -2,4176
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,9145
surface_matches_ratio 1,3462
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,4286
surface_wr_p2 53,8462
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,2821
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,3333
p1_surface_matches 35,0000
p2_surface_matches 26,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0286
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,8667
combined_confidence 0,9333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,8318
first_serve_won_diff -2,2897
second_serve_won_diff 3,5415
bp_saved_diff -3,2301
bp_converted_diff -2,8495
aces_per_match_diff -1,8747
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff 14,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 10,7900
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7193
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0407
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2857
serve_consistency_p1 7,2031
serve_consistency_p2 6,3633
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,5715
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0023
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0505
elite_surface_amplifier -2,4176
UTR
utr_diff -0,1000
utr_p1 0,8506
utr_p2 0,8624
utr_advantage -0,6545
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22226
API ID 15340326
Gamdom ID 586892
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22226,
    "api_id": 15340326,
    "gamdom_id": 586892,
    "player1": "Nuno Borges",
    "player2": "Tomas Martin Etcheverry",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-13T07:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.9100000000000001,
      "p2": 1.9100000000000001
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.85,
      "p2": 1.96
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.83,
      "p2": 1.96
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4442,
    "prob_p2": 0.5558,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5558,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 46,
      "utr_singles": 15.18,
      "utr_ranking": 64,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.42857142857142,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 62,
      "utr_singles": 15.29,
      "utr_ranking": 52,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.18,
      "ranking": 64,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.29,
      "ranking": 52,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8505882352941176,
    "utr_p2": 0.8623529411764705,
    "utr_diff": -0.09999999999999964,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2666666666666666,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": 225,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.230109890109901,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 14.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.42857142857142,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.84615384615385,
    "utr_advantage": -0.6544502617801023,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -3,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.23638877806423034,
    "rank_advantage": 12,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2857142857142857,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -2.417582417582423,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.8494505494505518,
    "p1_surface_matches": 35,
    "p2_surface_matches": 26,
    "serve_quality_diff": -3.831824175824174,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7192982456140351,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0406504065040652,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.8747252747252743,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.2896703296703294,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.02857142857142857,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.2031340140674525,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.363335366526773,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.5714893535618769,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.28205128205128,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.5415384615384724,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.3461538461538463,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 10.789999999999992,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -2.417582417582423,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0022857142857142243,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05046153846153845,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.914529914529921,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}