Roberto Bautista Agut vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 03:50
13 Ene 2026, 03:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Roberto Bautista Agut
Roberto …: 51,1%
Giovanni …: 48,9%
¿Por qué Roberto Bautista Agut?
UTR 15,32 vs 15,16
(+0,17)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Roberto … | Giovanni … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,50 | 1,53 | 40,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,95 | 1,41 | 33,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,96 | 2,04 | 51,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Roberto …: +13,1%
Giovanni …: -13,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Roberto Bautista Agut
Ranking
#91
UTR Rating
15,32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#47
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
4/14 = 28,6%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Ranking
#61
UTR Rating
15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#71
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
12/28 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -23,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7444 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2951 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -155,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 20,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -14,2857 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7,3958 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 28,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,7500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,4286 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7100 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -23,5582 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -10,3179 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -11,0929 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,3286 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5,1250 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -7,5357 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -23,5850 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 136,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5672 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0412 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4737 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,8405 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,8327 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 4,2160 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1913 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0944 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8753 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8553 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,1071 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22227
API ID
15340328
Gamdom ID
586888
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22227,
"api_id": 15340328,
"gamdom_id": 586888,
"player1": "Roberto Bautista Agut",
"player2": "Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-12T23:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.5,
"p2": 1.53
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.95,
"p2": 1.41
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.93,
"p2": 1.39
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5107,
"prob_p2": 0.4893,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5107,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 91,
"utr_singles": 15.32,
"utr_ranking": 47,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 61,
"utr_singles": 15.16,
"utr_ranking": 71,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 47,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.16,
"ranking": 71,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8552941176470588,
"utr_diff": 0.16999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 0.7444444444444445,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": -155,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.3285714285714363,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -28.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 28.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": 1.1071312276131549,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 20,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.29511705093929896,
"rank_advantage": -23,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.47368421052631576,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": -14.285714285714285,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.125,
"p1_surface_matches": 14,
"p2_surface_matches": 28,
"serve_quality_diff": -23.558214285714286,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5671641791044776,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.041237113402062,
"aces_per_match_diff": -7.535714285714286,
"combined_confidence": 0.71,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -10.31785714285715,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.42857142857142855,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.840537111240176,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.832698760990847,
"surface_rank_synergy": 4.215957870561414,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
"second_serve_won_diff": -11.092857142857149,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -23.585,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 136,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.19128571428571428,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09442857142857147,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.395833333333337,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}