Roberto Bautista Agut vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 03:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Roberto Bautista Agut
Roberto …: 51,1% Giovanni …: 48,9%
¿Por qué Roberto Bautista Agut?
UTR 15,32 vs 15,16 (+0,17) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Roberto … Giovanni … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,50 1,53 40,0%
Gamdom 2,95 1,41 33,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,96 2,04 51,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Roberto …: +13,1% Giovanni …: -13,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Roberto Bautista Agut
Ranking #91
UTR Rating 15,32 Pro
UTR Ranking #47
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 4/14 = 28,6%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Ranking #61
UTR Rating 15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #71
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 12/28 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -23,0000
rank_ratio 0,7444
log_rank_ratio -0,2951
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -155,0000
best_rank_diff 20,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -14,2857
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -7,3958
surface_matches_ratio 0,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 28,5714
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 33,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,7500
p1_surface_matches 14,0000
p2_surface_matches 28,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,4286
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4867
p2_confidence 0,9333
combined_confidence 0,7100
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -23,5582
first_serve_won_diff -10,3179
second_serve_won_diff -11,0929
bp_saved_diff -1,3286
bp_converted_diff 5,1250
aces_per_match_diff -7,5357
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -23,5850
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 136,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5672
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0412
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4737
serve_consistency_p1 8,8405
serve_consistency_p2 4,8327
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 4,2160
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1913
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0944
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1700
utr_p1 0,8753
utr_p2 0,8553
utr_advantage 1,1071
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22227
API ID 15340328
Gamdom ID 586888
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22227,
    "api_id": 15340328,
    "gamdom_id": 586888,
    "player1": "Roberto Bautista Agut",
    "player2": "Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-12T23:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.5,
      "p2": 1.53
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.95,
      "p2": 1.41
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.93,
      "p2": 1.39
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5107,
    "prob_p2": 0.4893,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5107,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 91,
      "utr_singles": 15.32,
      "utr_ranking": 47,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 61,
      "utr_singles": 15.16,
      "utr_ranking": 71,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 15.32,
      "ranking": 47,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 71,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.8552941176470588,
    "utr_diff": 0.16999999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7444444444444445,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -155,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.3285714285714363,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -28.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 28.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
    "utr_advantage": 1.1071312276131549,
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    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.29511705093929896,
    "rank_advantage": -23,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": -14.285714285714285,
    "bp_converted_diff": 5.125,
    "p1_surface_matches": 14,
    "p2_surface_matches": 28,
    "serve_quality_diff": -23.558214285714286,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5671641791044776,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.041237113402062,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -7.535714285714286,
    "combined_confidence": 0.71,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -10.31785714285715,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.42857142857142855,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.840537111240176,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.832698760990847,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 4.215957870561414,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -11.092857142857149,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5,
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 136,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.19128571428571428,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09442857142857147,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.395833333333337,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}