Vit Kopřiva vs Hugo Gaston
Auckland | Hard | Qualification Final
11 Ene 2026, 02:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hugo Gaston
Vit …: 37,4% Hugo …: 62,6%
¿Por qué Hugo Gaston?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Vit … Hugo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,91 1,80 52,4%
IA Fair Odds 2,67 1,60 37,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Vit …: -11,1% Hugo …: +11,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Vit Kopřiva
Ranking #101
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 12/24 = 50,0%
Hugo Gaston
Ranking #93
UTR Rating 14,71 Pro
UTR Ranking #125
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 24/39 = 61,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -7,0000
rank_ratio 0,9307
log_rank_ratio -0,0718
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -33,0000
best_rank_diff -20,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -11,5385
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,4186
surface_matches_ratio 0,6154
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 61,5385
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 60,4651
p1_surface_matches 24,0000
p2_surface_matches 39,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -5,9949
first_serve_won_diff -6,3468
second_serve_won_diff -4,7256
bp_saved_diff -1,5647
bp_converted_diff 11,4404
aces_per_match_diff -0,7019
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 62,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 15,2110
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,4231
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1471
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8333
serve_consistency_p1 10,4869
serve_consistency_p2 8,6277
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,8288
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0070
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1084
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7824
utr_p2 0,7824
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22228
API ID 15340247
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22228,
    "api_id": 15340247,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Vit Kop\u0159iva",
    "player2": "Hugo Gaston",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-10T22:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
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      "p2": 1.8
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
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      "p2": 1.88
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3744,
    "prob_p2": 0.6256,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6256,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 101,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 24,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 93,
      "utr_singles": 14.71,
      "utr_ranking": 125,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.53846153846154,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 39,
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      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "h2h_matches": 0,
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    "points_diff": -33,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.5647435897435926,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
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    "p1_confidence": 0.8,
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    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
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    "bp_converted_diff": 11.440384615384616,
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    "p2_surface_matches": 39,
    "serve_quality_diff": -5.9949358974359015,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4230769230769231,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1470588235294117,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.7019230769230766,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -6.346794871794884,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.486908252125739,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.627699967782975,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.828758475822179,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.46511627906976,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.725641025641025,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6153846153846154,
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
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    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.007000000000000006,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.418604651162786,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}