Damir Džumhur vs Brandon Nakashima
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Brandon Nakashima
Damir …: 45,1% Brandon …: 54,9%
¿Por qué Brandon Nakashima?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Damir … Brandon … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,50 1,30 28,6%
IA Fair Odds 2,22 1,82 45,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Damir …: +18,0% Brandon …: -18,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Damir Džumhur
Ranking #66
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 9/21 = 42,9%
Brandon Nakashima
Ranking #30
UTR Rating 15,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #33
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 21/39 = 53,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -32,0000
rank_ratio 0,5077
log_rank_ratio -0,6779
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -543,0000
best_rank_diff 6,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -10,9890
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -8,0651
surface_matches_ratio 0,5385
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,8571
surface_wr_p2 53,8462
surface_wr_p1_stable 44,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,4884
p1_surface_matches 21,0000
p2_surface_matches 39,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,8500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -19,6461
first_serve_won_diff -16,0275
second_serve_won_diff 6,5978
bp_saved_diff -7,8022
bp_converted_diff 15,4462
aces_per_match_diff -6,8059
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff -68,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -49,0200
current_streak_diff -5,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,4949
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9762
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3750
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 10,2789
serve_consistency_p2 7,0188
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 7,4492
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0394
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0065
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8776
utr_p2 0,8776
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22236
API ID 15340342
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22236,
    "api_id": 15340342,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Damir D\u017eumhur",
    "player2": "Brandon Nakashima",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-12T23:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
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      "p1": 3.5,
      "p2": 1.3
    },
    "gamdom": {
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      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
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      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
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    "prob_p2": 0.5487,
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    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 66,
      "utr_singles": null,
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      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
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      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
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      "utr_singles": 15.41,
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  "utr": {
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  },
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9761904761904762,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -6.8058608058608066,
    "combined_confidence": 0.85,
    "current_streak_diff": -5,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -16.027472527472533,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.278933237281581,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.018825773089182,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 7.449227565155573,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.0,
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    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
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  "feature_importance": {}
}