Damir Džumhur vs Brandon Nakashima
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 03:30
13 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Brandon Nakashima
Damir …: 45,1%
Brandon …: 54,9%
¿Por qué Brandon Nakashima?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Damir … | Brandon … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,50 | 1,30 | 28,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,22 | 1,82 | 45,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Damir …: +18,0%
Brandon …: -18,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Damir Džumhur
Ranking
#66
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
9/21 = 42,9%
Brandon Nakashima
Ranking
#30
UTR Rating
15,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#33
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
21/39 = 53,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -32,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5077 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,6779 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -543,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 6,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -10,9890 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,0651 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5385 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,8462 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 44,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,4884 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 39,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -19,6461 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -16,0275 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,5978 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7,8022 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 15,4462 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -6,8059 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -68,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -49,0200 | |
| current_streak_diff | -5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4949 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9762 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3750 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,2789 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,0188 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 7,4492 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0394 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0065 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8776 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8776 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22236
API ID
15340342
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22236,
"api_id": 15340342,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Damir D\u017eumhur",
"player2": "Brandon Nakashima",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-12T23:30:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.5,
"p2": 1.3
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4513,
"prob_p2": 0.5487,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5487,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 66,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 30,
"utr_singles": 15.41,
"utr_ranking": 33,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 39,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 33,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.5076923076923077,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -543,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.802197802197796,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -67.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.7,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.84615384615385,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 6,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.6778797084291569,
"rank_advantage": -32,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -10.989010989010993,
"bp_converted_diff": 15.446153846153841,
"p1_surface_matches": 21,
"p2_surface_matches": 39,
"serve_quality_diff": -19.646117216117233,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.494949494949495,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9761904761904762,
"aces_per_match_diff": -6.8058608058608066,
"combined_confidence": 0.85,
"current_streak_diff": -5,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -16.027472527472533,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.278933237281581,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.018825773089182,
"surface_rank_synergy": 7.449227565155573,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.48837209302325,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.597802197802196,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5384615384615384,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -49.019999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.039428571428571424,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0064615384615384075,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.065116279069763,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}