Daniel Altmaier vs Jaume Munar
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 11:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jaume Munar
Daniel …: 33,1% Jaume …: 66,9%
¿Por qué Jaume Munar?
UTR 15,32 vs 15,56 (-0,18) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Daniel … Jaume … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,50 38,0%
IA Fair Odds 3,02 1,49 33,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Daniel …: -3,2% Jaume …: +3,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daniel Altmaier
Ranking #44
UTR Rating 15,32 Pro
UTR Ranking #48
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 17/38 = 44,7%
Jaume Munar
Ranking #39
UTR Rating 15,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #24
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 21/35 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -6,0000
rank_ratio 0,8636
log_rank_ratio -0,1466
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -172,0000
best_rank_diff -11,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -15,2632
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -13,7363
surface_matches_ratio 1,0857
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 44,7368
surface_wr_p2 60,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 45,2381
surface_wr_p2_stable 58,9744
p1_surface_matches 38,0000
p2_surface_matches 35,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1053
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,3387
first_serve_won_diff 1,2242
second_serve_won_diff -6,7158
bp_saved_diff 3,2931
bp_converted_diff -6,8904
aces_per_match_diff 3,8707
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff 26,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 17,9800
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 6,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1217
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8609
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 5,0326
serve_consistency_p2 11,8561
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,2376
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0466
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0940
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1800
utr_p1 0,8859
utr_p2 0,9071
utr_advantage -1,1524
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22237
API ID 15340334
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22237,
    "api_id": 15340334,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Daniel Altmaier",
    "player2": "Jaume Munar",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-12T07:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.63,
      "p2": 1.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.94,
      "p2": 1.39
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3309,
    "prob_p2": 0.6691,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6691,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 44,
      "utr_singles": 15.32,
      "utr_ranking": 48,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.73684210526316,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 39,
      "utr_singles": 15.56,
      "utr_ranking": 24,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 48,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 24,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.9070588235294119,
    "utr_diff": -0.1800000000000015,
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    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": -172,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.293082706766924,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
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    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 44.73684210526316,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
    "utr_advantage": -1.1523687580025703,
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    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.1466034741918754,
    "rank_advantage": -6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -15.263157894736842,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.890375939849619,
    "p1_surface_matches": 38,
    "p2_surface_matches": 35,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.338721804511273,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1216931216931216,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8608695652173913,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.870676691729323,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.2242105263157868,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.10526315789473684,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.0325759734581625,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.856103155040131,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.237631974507572,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.23809523809524,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.97435897435898,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -6.715789473684211,
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04663157894736841,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09399999999999997,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.736263736263737,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}