Daniel Altmaier vs Jaume Munar
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 11:20
12 Ene 2026, 11:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jaume Munar
Daniel …: 33,1%
Jaume …: 66,9%
¿Por qué Jaume Munar?
UTR 15,32 vs 15,56
(-0,18)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daniel … | Jaume … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,63 | 1,50 | 38,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,02 | 1,49 | 33,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Daniel …: -3,2%
Jaume …: +3,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daniel Altmaier
Ranking
#44
UTR Rating
15,32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#48
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
17/38 = 44,7%
Jaume Munar
Ranking
#39
UTR Rating
15,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#24
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
21/35 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -6,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8636 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1466 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -172,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -11,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -15,2632 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -13,7363 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0857 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 44,7368 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 45,2381 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,9744 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1053 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,3387 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,2242 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6,7158 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,2931 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,8904 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,8707 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 26,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 17,9800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1217 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8609 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,0326 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,8561 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,2376 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0466 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0940 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8859 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9071 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,1524 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22237
API ID
15340334
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22237,
"api_id": 15340334,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Daniel Altmaier",
"player2": "Jaume Munar",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-12T07:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.63,
"p2": 1.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.94,
"p2": 1.39
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3309,
"prob_p2": 0.6691,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6691,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 44,
"utr_singles": 15.32,
"utr_ranking": 48,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.73684210526316,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 39,
"utr_singles": 15.56,
"utr_ranking": 24,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.32,
"ranking": 48,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.56,
"ranking": 24,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.9070588235294119,
"utr_diff": -0.1800000000000015,
"rank_ratio": 0.8636363636363636,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": -172,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.293082706766924,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 26.000000000000004,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 44.73684210526316,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
"utr_advantage": -1.1523687580025703,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -11,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.1466034741918754,
"rank_advantage": -6,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -15.263157894736842,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.890375939849619,
"p1_surface_matches": 38,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.338721804511273,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1216931216931216,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8608695652173913,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.870676691729323,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.2242105263157868,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.10526315789473684,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.0325759734581625,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.856103155040131,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.237631974507572,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.23809523809524,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.97435897435898,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.715789473684211,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0857142857142856,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 17.980000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04663157894736841,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09399999999999997,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.736263736263737,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}