Ethan Quinn vs Marton Fucsovics
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 10:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marton Fucsovics
Ethan …: 38,4% Marton …: 61,6%
¿Por qué Marton Fucsovics?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ethan … Marton … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,38 1,57 42,0%
IA Fair Odds 2,60 1,62 38,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Ethan …: -1,3% Marton …: +1,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ethan Quinn
Ranking #80
UTR Rating 14,94 Pro
UTR Ranking #93
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 26/44 = 59,1%
Marton Fucsovics
Ranking #54
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 21/29 = 72,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -22,0000
rank_ratio 0,7105
log_rank_ratio -0,3417
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -216,0000
best_rank_diff -33,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -13,3229
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -11,1742
surface_matches_ratio 1,5172
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 59,0909
surface_wr_p2 72,4138
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 69,6970
p1_surface_matches 44,0000
p2_surface_matches 29,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1818
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9667
combined_confidence 0,9833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5,7374
first_serve_won_diff 0,1696
second_serve_won_diff -5,9282
bp_saved_diff 6,1238
bp_converted_diff 1,6245
aces_per_match_diff 3,7155
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 20,0000
momentum_diff 20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 15,5500
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 7,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 6,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9189
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,3158
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3846
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 12,1456
serve_consistency_p2 6,9798
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 4,5531
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1129
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2021
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8294
utr_p2 0,8294
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22238
API ID 15340336
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22238,
    "api_id": 15340336,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Ethan Quinn",
    "player2": "Marton Fucsovics",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-13T06:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
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      "p1": 2.38,
      "p2": 1.5699999999999998
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
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      "p2": 1.79
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
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    "prob_p2": 0.6156,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6156,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 80,
      "utr_singles": 14.94,
      "utr_ranking": 93,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 44,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 54,
      "utr_singles": null,
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      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 72.41379310344827,
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      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
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      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "division": null,
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  },
  "features": {
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    "h2h_matches": 0,
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    "momentum_p2": 20.0,
    "points_diff": -216,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.1238244514106555,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
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    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 59.09090909090909,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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    "bp_converted_diff": 1.6244514106583168,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.3157894736842105,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.7155172413793105,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.1695924764890293,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.18181818181818182,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.145638218301205,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.979795415247124,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 4.553086201626145,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 69.6969696969697,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -5.928213166144211,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.174242424242427,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
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  "feature_importance": {}
}