Ethan Quinn vs Marton Fucsovics
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 10:55
13 Ene 2026, 10:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marton Fucsovics
Ethan …: 38,4%
Marton …: 61,6%
¿Por qué Marton Fucsovics?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ethan … | Marton … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,38 | 1,57 | 42,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,60 | 1,62 | 38,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ethan …: -1,3%
Marton …: +1,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ethan Quinn
Ranking
#80
UTR Rating
14,94 Pro
UTR Ranking
#93
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
26/44 = 59,1%
Marton Fucsovics
Ranking
#54
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
21/29 = 72,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -22,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7105 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3417 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -216,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -33,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -13,3229 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11,1742 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5172 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 59,0909 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 72,4138 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 69,6970 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 44,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1818 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5,7374 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,1696 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,9282 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,1238 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,6245 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,7155 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 15,5500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9189 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,3158 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3846 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,1456 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,9798 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 4,5531 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1129 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2021 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8294 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8294 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22238
API ID
15340336
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22238,
"api_id": 15340336,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Ethan Quinn",
"player2": "Marton Fucsovics",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-13T06:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.38,
"p2": 1.5699999999999998
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.79
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3844,
"prob_p2": 0.6156,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6156,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 80,
"utr_singles": 14.94,
"utr_ranking": 93,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 44,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 54,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 72.41379310344827,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.94,
"ranking": 93,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8294117647058824,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.7105263157894737,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 20.0,
"points_diff": -216,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.1238244514106555,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 20.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 59.09090909090909,
"surface_wr_p2": 72.41379310344827,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -33,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.3417492937220567,
"rank_advantage": -22,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.38461538461538464,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -13.322884012539177,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.6244514106583168,
"p1_surface_matches": 44,
"p2_surface_matches": 29,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.73736677115987,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.918918918918919,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.3157894736842105,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.7155172413793105,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.1695924764890293,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.18181818181818182,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.145638218301205,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.979795415247124,
"surface_rank_synergy": 4.553086201626145,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 69.6969696969697,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.928213166144211,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.5172413793103448,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 15.550000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11290909090909096,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.20213793103448263,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.174242424242427,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}