Miomir Kecmanovic vs Valentin Vacherot
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 12:10
12 Ene 2026, 12:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Valentin Vacherot
Miomir …: 34,3%
Valentin …: 65,7%
¿Por qué Valentin Vacherot?
UTR 15,13 vs 15,59
(-0,58)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Miomir … | Valentin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,38 | 1,57 | 42,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,91 | 1,52 | 34,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Miomir …: -5,4%
Valentin …: +5,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Miomir Kecmanovic
Ranking
#60
UTR Rating
15,13 Pro
UTR Ranking
#77
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
16/33 = 48,5%
Valentin Vacherot
Ranking
#31
UTR Rating
15,59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#16
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
21/32 = 65,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -20,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6078 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,4978 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -469,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 3,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -17,1402 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -15,2402 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0313 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,4848 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 65,6250 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,6486 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 63,8889 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0303 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,5857 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,2085 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,6605 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,1080 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,3156 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,0417 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -5,8000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,3871 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3571 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5455 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,2127 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,7069 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8,5330 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0048 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1362 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8506 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9188 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,7371 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22239
API ID
15340337
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22239,
"api_id": 15340337,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Miomir Kecmanovic",
"player2": "Valentin Vacherot",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-12T08:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.38,
"p2": 1.5699999999999998
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.08,
"p2": 1.73
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3433,
"prob_p2": 0.6567,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6567,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 60,
"utr_singles": 15.13,
"utr_ranking": 77,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 31,
"utr_singles": 15.59,
"utr_ranking": 16,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.625,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 77,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 16,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.9188235294117648,
"utr_diff": -0.5800000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 0.6078431372549019,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
"points_diff": -469,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.107954545454561,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.484848484848484,
"surface_wr_p2": 65.625,
"utr_advantage": -3.737113402061856,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 3,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.4978384282391796,
"rank_advantage": -20,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.35714285714285715,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5454545454545454,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -17.140151515151516,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.31562499999999716,
"p1_surface_matches": 33,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.585748106060613,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.3870967741935485,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.041666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.20852272727273657,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.030303030303030304,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.21265267347605,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.706908126492392,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.533026090084423,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.64864864864865,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.888888888888886,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.660511363636367,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.03125,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -5.800000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.00484848484848488,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.13624999999999998,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.240240240240233,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}