Miomir Kecmanovic vs Valentin Vacherot
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 12:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Valentin Vacherot
Miomir …: 34,3% Valentin …: 65,7%
¿Por qué Valentin Vacherot?
UTR 15,13 vs 15,59 (-0,58) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Miomir … Valentin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,38 1,57 42,0%
IA Fair Odds 2,91 1,52 34,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Miomir …: -5,4% Valentin …: +5,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Miomir Kecmanovic
Ranking #60
UTR Rating 15,13 Pro
UTR Ranking #77
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 16/33 = 48,5%
Valentin Vacherot
Ranking #31
UTR Rating 15,59 Pro
UTR Ranking #16
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 21/32 = 65,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -20,0000
rank_ratio 0,6078
log_rank_ratio -0,4978
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -469,0000
best_rank_diff 3,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -17,1402
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -15,2402
surface_matches_ratio 1,0313
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 48,4848
surface_wr_p2 65,6250
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,6486
surface_wr_p2_stable 63,8889
p1_surface_matches 33,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0303
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7,5857
first_serve_won_diff -0,2085
second_serve_won_diff -4,6605
bp_saved_diff -2,1080
bp_converted_diff 0,3156
aces_per_match_diff -3,0417
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -5,8000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 6,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,3871
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3571
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5455
serve_consistency_p1 7,2127
serve_consistency_p2 11,7069
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 8,5330
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0048
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1362
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,5800
utr_p1 0,8506
utr_p2 0,9188
utr_advantage -3,7371
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22239
API ID 15340337
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22239,
    "api_id": 15340337,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Miomir Kecmanovic",
    "player2": "Valentin Vacherot",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-12T08:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.38,
      "p2": 1.5699999999999998
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.08,
      "p2": 1.73
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3433,
    "prob_p2": 0.6567,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6567,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 60,
      "utr_singles": 15.13,
      "utr_ranking": 77,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 31,
      "utr_singles": 15.59,
      "utr_ranking": 16,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 65.625,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 77,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 16,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.9188235294117648,
    "utr_diff": -0.5800000000000001,
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    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": -469,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.107954545454561,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 48.484848484848484,
    "surface_wr_p2": 65.625,
    "utr_advantage": -3.737113402061856,
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    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.4978384282391796,
    "rank_advantage": -20,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.35714285714285715,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5454545454545454,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -17.140151515151516,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.31562499999999716,
    "p1_surface_matches": 33,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.585748106060613,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.3870967741935485,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.041666666666667,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.20852272727273657,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.030303030303030304,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.21265267347605,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.706908126492392,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 8.533026090084423,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.64864864864865,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.888888888888886,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.660511363636367,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.03125,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -5.800000000000004,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.00484848484848488,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.13624999999999998,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.240240240240233,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}