Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian Korda
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 14:10
12 Ene 2026, 14:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sebastian Korda
Thanasi …: 35,0%
Sebastian …: 65,0%
¿Por qué Sebastian Korda?
UTR 15,45 vs 15,47
(-0,04)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Thanasi … | Sebastian … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,75 | 1,28 | 26,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,86 | 1,54 | 35,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Thanasi …: +9,6%
Sebastian …: -9,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Ranking
#450
UTR Rating
15,45 Pro
UTR Ranking
#33
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Hard
3/5 = 60,0%
Sebastian Korda
Ranking
#53
UTR Rating
15,47 Pro
UTR Ranking
#29
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
17/30 = 56,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -404,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1022 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2,2806 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -990,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -50,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 3,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,2952 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,1667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,7778 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,8824 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,7040 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,8133 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -13,2133 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,2067 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 10,4133 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,8333 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -15,6100 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 361,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9746 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9722 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5455 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 1,3833 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,4929 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -7,6020 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,5040 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3373 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8788 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8835 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,2582 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22241
API ID
15340340
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22241,
"api_id": 15340340,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Thanasi Kokkinakis",
"player2": "Sebastian Korda",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-12T10:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.75,
"p2": 1.28
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.38,
"p2": 1.31
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.35,
"prob_p2": 0.65,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.65,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 450,
"utr_singles": 15.45,
"utr_ranking": 33,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 53,
"utr_singles": 15.47,
"utr_ranking": 29,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 33,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.47,
"ranking": 29,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8835294117647059,
"utr_diff": -0.03999999999999915,
"rank_ratio": 0.10222222222222223,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": -990,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.2066666666666634,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -12.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.666666666666664,
"utr_advantage": -0.25823111684957484,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -50,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -2.2806061862752705,
"rank_advantage": -404,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5454545454545454,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": 3.3333333333333357,
"bp_converted_diff": 10.413333333333334,
"p1_surface_matches": 5,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.7040000000000077,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9745762711864406,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9722222222222222,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.833333333333334,
"combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.8133333333333468,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 1.3832891609313327,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.492939560842112,
"surface_rank_synergy": -7.602020620917574,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.77777777777778,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.88235294117647,
"second_serve_won_diff": -13.213333333333338,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.16666666666666666,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -15.61,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 361,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.504,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.3373333333333334,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.2952069716775603,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}