Tristan Schoolkate vs Rinky Hijikata
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tristan Schoolkate
Tristan …: 55,7% Rinky …: 44,3%
¿Por qué Tristan Schoolkate?
UTR 14,56 vs 14,82 (+0,13) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tristan … Rinky … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,67 45,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,80 2,26 55,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Tristan …: +12,5% Rinky …: -12,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tristan Schoolkate
Ranking #98
UTR Rating 14,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #153
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 35/61 = 57,4%
Rinky Hijikata
Ranking #114
UTR Rating 14,82 Pro
UTR Ranking #110
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 26/47 = 55,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 14,0000
rank_ratio 1,1443
log_rank_ratio 0,1348
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 95,0000
best_rank_diff -33,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 2,0579
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,0211
surface_matches_ratio 1,2979
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 57,3770
surface_wr_p2 55,3191
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,9231
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,9020
p1_surface_matches 61,0000
p2_surface_matches 47,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1475
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 12,1328
first_serve_won_diff 5,7672
second_serve_won_diff -1,2354
bp_saved_diff 4,9259
bp_converted_diff -5,5744
aces_per_match_diff 4,8099
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 8,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff -44,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -40,6010
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 8,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1554
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7258
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6111
serve_consistency_p1 4,1411
serve_consistency_p2 5,7573
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,2774
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0598
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0672
elite_surface_amplifier 2,0579
UTR
utr_diff 0,1300
utr_p1 0,7718
utr_p2 0,7565
utr_advantage 0,8969
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22243
API ID 15340339
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22243,
    "api_id": 15340339,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Tristan Schoolkate",
    "player2": "Rinky Hijikata",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-13T02:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.67
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.21,
      "p2": 1.65
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5569,
    "prob_p2": 0.4431,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5569,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 98,
      "utr_singles": 14.56,
      "utr_ranking": 153,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.377049180327866,
      "wr_surface_wins": 35,
      "wr_surface_total": 61,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 114,
      "utr_singles": 14.82,
      "utr_ranking": 110,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.319148936170215,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 47,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 153,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 110,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.7564705882352941,
    "utr_diff": 0.13000000000000078,
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    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 8.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": 95,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.92591559121032,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -44.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 57.377049180327866,
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    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.13481922280895126,
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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    "surface_wr_diff": 2.0579002441576506,
    "bp_converted_diff": -5.574363446110915,
    "p1_surface_matches": 61,
    "p2_surface_matches": 47,
    "serve_quality_diff": 12.13276944541333,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1554054054054055,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7258064516129032,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.809905824904081,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.7671782350889345,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.14754098360655737,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.141098413706341,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.757267223072636,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.2774445115356855,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.92307692307692,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.90196078431373,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.2354377397977032,
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    "days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05977049180327865,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06719148936170216,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.0211161387631904,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}