Tristan Schoolkate vs Rinky Hijikata
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 06:00
13 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tristan Schoolkate
Tristan …: 55,7%
Rinky …: 44,3%
¿Por qué Tristan Schoolkate?
UTR 14,56 vs 14,82
(+0,13)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tristan … | Rinky … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,67 | 45,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,80 | 2,26 | 55,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tristan …: +12,5%
Rinky …: -12,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tristan Schoolkate
Ranking
#98
UTR Rating
14,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#153
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
35/61 = 57,4%
Rinky Hijikata
Ranking
#114
UTR Rating
14,82 Pro
UTR Ranking
#110
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
26/47 = 55,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 14,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1443 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1348 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 95,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -33,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 2,0579 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,0211 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2979 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,3770 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,3191 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,9231 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,9020 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 61,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 47,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1475 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 12,1328 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,7672 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,2354 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,9259 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5,5744 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,8099 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -44,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -40,6010 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1554 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7258 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6111 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,1411 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,7573 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,2774 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0598 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0672 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 2,0579 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7718 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7565 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,8969 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22243
API ID
15340339
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22243,
"api_id": 15340339,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Tristan Schoolkate",
"player2": "Rinky Hijikata",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-13T02:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.67
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.21,
"p2": 1.65
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5569,
"prob_p2": 0.4431,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5569,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 98,
"utr_singles": 14.56,
"utr_ranking": 153,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.377049180327866,
"wr_surface_wins": 35,
"wr_surface_total": 61,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 114,
"utr_singles": 14.82,
"utr_ranking": 110,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.319148936170215,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 47,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 153,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 110,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7564705882352941,
"utr_diff": 0.13000000000000078,
"rank_ratio": 1.1443298969072164,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 8.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": 95,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.92591559121032,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -44.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.377049180327866,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.319148936170215,
"utr_advantage": 0.8968609865470906,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -33,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.13481922280895126,
"rank_advantage": 14,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6111111111111112,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 2.0579002441576506,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.574363446110915,
"p1_surface_matches": 61,
"p2_surface_matches": 47,
"serve_quality_diff": 12.13276944541333,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1554054054054055,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7258064516129032,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.809905824904081,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.7671782350889345,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.14754098360655737,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.141098413706341,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.757267223072636,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.2774445115356855,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.92307692307692,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.90196078431373,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.2354377397977032,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.297872340425532,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -40.60100000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 2.0579002441576506,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05977049180327865,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06719148936170216,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.0211161387631904,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}