Ugo Humbert vs Terence Atmane
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 13:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ugo Humbert
Ugo …: 66,1% Terence …: 33,9%
¿Por qué Ugo Humbert?
UTR 15,43 vs 14,65 (+0,82) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ugo … Terence … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,28 3,75 78,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,51 2,95 66,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Ugo …: -8,5% Terence …: +8,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ugo Humbert
Ranking #33
UTR Rating 15,43 Pro
UTR Ranking #38
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 18/29 = 62,1%
Terence Atmane
Ranking #64
UTR Rating 14,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #137
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 29/50 = 58,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 26,0000
rank_ratio 1,7222
log_rank_ratio 0,5436
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 500,0000
best_rank_diff 48,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 4,0690
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,1453
surface_matches_ratio 0,5800
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 62,0690
surface_wr_p2 58,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,6061
surface_wr_p2_stable 57,4074
p1_surface_matches 29,0000
p2_surface_matches 50,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2414
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,6392
first_serve_won_diff 1,8023
second_serve_won_diff 3,0900
bp_saved_diff 2,7828
bp_converted_diff 3,3915
aces_per_match_diff 0,9055
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 8,1540
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 7,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7136
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4444
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8000
serve_consistency_p1 4,7574
serve_consistency_p2 8,4860
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,2120
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0947
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1060
elite_surface_amplifier 4,0690
UTR
utr_diff 0,8200
utr_p1 0,8765
utr_p2 0,7800
utr_advantage 5,4521
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22244
API ID 15340338
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22244,
    "api_id": 15340338,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Ugo Humbert",
    "player2": "Terence Atmane",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-12T09:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.28,
      "p2": 3.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.34,
      "p2": 3.23
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6608,
    "prob_p2": 0.3392,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6608,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 33,
      "utr_singles": 15.43,
      "utr_ranking": 38,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.06896551724138,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 64,
      "utr_singles": 14.65,
      "utr_ranking": 137,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.99999999999999,
      "wr_surface_wins": 29,
      "wr_surface_total": 50,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 38,
      "division": "Pro",
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "division": "Pro",
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    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.7800000000000001,
    "utr_diff": 0.8199999999999985,
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    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 30.0,
    "points_diff": 500,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.782827586206892,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 3.552713678800501e-15,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 62.06896551724138,
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    "utr_advantage": 5.452127659574459,
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    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 4.068965517241388,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.3915172413793044,
    "p1_surface_matches": 29,
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    "serve_quality_diff": 3.639172413793105,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7135678391959799,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.9055172413793109,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.8022758620689814,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2413793103448276,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.7573611408034,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.485975541916643,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.2119525068103436,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.60606060606061,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.407407407407405,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.0900000000000105,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.58,
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    "days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09468965517241379,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10599999999999998,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.1453423120089843,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}