Ugo Humbert vs Terence Atmane
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 13:55
12 Ene 2026, 13:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ugo Humbert
Ugo …: 66,1%
Terence …: 33,9%
¿Por qué Ugo Humbert?
UTR 15,43 vs 14,65
(+0,82)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ugo … | Terence … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,28 | 3,75 | 78,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,51 | 2,95 | 66,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ugo …: -8,5%
Terence …: +8,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ugo Humbert
Ranking
#33
UTR Rating
15,43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#38
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
18/29 = 62,1%
Terence Atmane
Ranking
#64
UTR Rating
14,65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#137
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
29/50 = 58,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 26,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,7222 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5436 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 500,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 48,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 4,0690 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,1453 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5800 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,0690 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,6061 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 57,4074 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2414 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,6392 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,8023 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,0900 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,7828 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,3915 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,9055 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 8,1540 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7136 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4444 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,7574 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,4860 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,2120 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0947 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1060 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 4,0690 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,8200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8765 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7800 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,4521 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22244
API ID
15340338
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22244,
"api_id": 15340338,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Ugo Humbert",
"player2": "Terence Atmane",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-12T09:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.28,
"p2": 3.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.34,
"p2": 3.23
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6608,
"prob_p2": 0.3392,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6608,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 33,
"utr_singles": 15.43,
"utr_ranking": 38,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.06896551724138,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 64,
"utr_singles": 14.65,
"utr_ranking": 137,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.99999999999999,
"wr_surface_wins": 29,
"wr_surface_total": 50,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 38,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 137,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7800000000000001,
"utr_diff": 0.8199999999999985,
"rank_ratio": 1.7222222222222223,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 30.0,
"points_diff": 500,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.782827586206892,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 3.552713678800501e-15,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.06896551724138,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"utr_advantage": 5.452127659574459,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 48,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5436154465889816,
"rank_advantage": 26,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 4.068965517241388,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.3915172413793044,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 50,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.639172413793105,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7135678391959799,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.9055172413793109,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.8022758620689814,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2413793103448276,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.7573611408034,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.485975541916643,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.2119525068103436,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.60606060606061,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.407407407407405,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.0900000000000105,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.58,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 8.154000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 4.068965517241388,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09468965517241379,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10599999999999998,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.1453423120089843,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}