Kimberly Birrell vs Diana Shnaider
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 04:30
12 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Diana Shnaider
Kimberly …: 37,7%
Diana …: 62,4%
¿Por qué Diana Shnaider?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Kimberly … | Diana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,00 | 1,40 | 33,3% |
| Gamdom | 3,00 | 1,39 | 33,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,66 | 1,60 | 37,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Kimberly …: +5,8%
Diana …: -5,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kimberly Birrell
Ranking
#76
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
19/33 = 57,6%
Diana Shnaider
Ranking
#22
UTR Rating
12,43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#29
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
16/31 = 51,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -85,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1981 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,6189 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1145,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -49,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 5,9629 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 5,3282 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0645 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,5758 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,6129 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,7568 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,4286 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1515 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,7100 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,1818 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,5182 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,9242 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,0545 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,1818 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,5800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,2059 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8855 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6364 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4375 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,4820 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,7110 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -9,6534 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1608 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0689 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5094 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5094 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22248
API ID
15340314
Gamdom ID
586876
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22248,
"api_id": 15340314,
"gamdom_id": 586876,
"player1": "Kimberly Birrell",
"player2": "Diana Shnaider",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-12T00:30:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.0,
"p2": 1.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.0,
"p2": 1.39
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.95,
"p2": 1.39
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3765,
"prob_p2": 0.6235,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6235,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 76,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.57575757575758,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 22,
"utr_singles": 12.43,
"utr_ranking": 29,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.43,
"ranking": 29,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5094117647058823,
"utr_p2": 0.5094117647058823,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.19811320754716982,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"points_diff": -1145,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.924242424242429,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.57575757575758,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.61290322580645,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -49,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.6189166563886441,
"rank_advantage": -85,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4375,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 5.9628543499511295,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.0545454545454689,
"p1_surface_matches": 33,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.7100000000000009,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.20588235294117646,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8854961832061069,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.18181818181818166,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.1818181818181799,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.15151515151515152,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.482006787163792,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.711012660079474,
"surface_rank_synergy": -9.653364226755365,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.75675675675676,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.42857142857142,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.518181818181823,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.064516129032258,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.5799999999999983,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16075757575757577,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06887096774193546,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.328185328185334,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}