Liudmila Samsonova vs Marketa Vondrousova
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 06:25
13 Ene 2026, 06:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marketa Vondrousova
Liudmila …: 30,8%
Marketa …: 69,2%
¿Por qué Marketa Vondrousova?
UTR 12,36 vs 12,61
(-0,30)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Liudmila … | Marketa … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,10 | 57,8% |
| Gamdom | 2,12 | 1,76 | 47,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,25 | 1,44 | 30,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Liudmila …: -24,1%
Marketa …: +24,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Liudmila Samsonova
Ranking
#18
UTR Rating
12,36 Pro
UTR Ranking
#38
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
13/27 = 48,1%
Marketa Vondrousova
Ranking
#34
UTR Rating
12,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#13
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
10/18 = 55,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 17,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6931 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 764,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -6,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -7,4074 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4,6188 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,1481 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,3871 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,5455 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 18,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0370 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,1233 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,2000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,3000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,3000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,1667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 42,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 29,9700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6290 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,3359 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0036 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -5,1344 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0355 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0726 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -7,4074 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5129 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5482 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,3981 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22249
API ID
15340315
Gamdom ID
586873
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22249,
"api_id": 15340315,
"gamdom_id": 586873,
"player1": "Liudmila Samsonova",
"player2": "Marketa Vondrousova",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-13T02:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.73,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.12,
"p2": 1.76
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.09,
"p2": 1.73
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3077,
"prob_p2": 0.6923,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6923,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 18,
"utr_singles": 12.36,
"utr_ranking": 38,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.148148148148145,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 34,
"utr_singles": 12.61,
"utr_ranking": 13,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 38,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 13,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.548235294117647,
"utr_diff": -0.3000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 2.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"points_diff": 764,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.6000000000000014,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 42.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 0.6,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.148148148148145,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.55555555555556,
"utr_advantage": -2.3980815347721878,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -6,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6931471805599453,
"rank_advantage": 17,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -7.407407407407412,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.299999999999997,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 18,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.123333333333342,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6290322580645161,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.166666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.75,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.20000000000000284,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.037037037037037035,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.3358985372505043,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.003647734502325,
"surface_rank_synergy": -5.134423559703301,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.38709677419355,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.3000000000000043,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.5,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 29.970000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -7.407407407407412,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03551851851851856,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0725555555555556,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.618768328445741,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}