Maya Joint vs Sofia Kenin
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 08:00
13 Ene 2026, 08:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Maya Joint
Maya …: 65,0%
Sofia …: 35,1%
¿Por qué Maya Joint?
UTR 12,15 vs 11,99
(+0,15)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Maya … | Sofia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,20 | 59,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,82 | 2,04 | 54,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,54 | 2,85 | 65,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Maya …: +8,1%
Sofia …: -8,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maya Joint
Ranking
#31
UTR Rating
12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#68
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
29/47 = 61,7%
Sofia Kenin
Ranking
#30
UTR Rating
11,99 Pro
UTR Ranking
#96
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
18/35 = 51,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -4,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8750 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1335 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -50,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -28,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 10,2736 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9,5023 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3429 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61,7021 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,7843 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,2821 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 47,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2340 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,6165 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,1915 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0979 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,2489 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,2249 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -19,9650 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,4000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4054 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7778 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7143 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0906 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,8955 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,3718 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1210 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0103 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4918 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4741 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,2392 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22250
API ID
15340319
Gamdom ID
586877
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22250,
"api_id": 15340319,
"gamdom_id": 586877,
"player1": "Maya Joint",
"player2": "Sofia Kenin",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-13T04:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.82,
"p2": 2.04
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.79,
"p2": 1.99
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6495,
"prob_p2": 0.3505,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6495,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 31,
"utr_singles": 12.15,
"utr_ranking": 68,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.702127659574465,
"wr_surface_wins": 29,
"wr_surface_total": 47,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 30,
"utr_singles": 11.99,
"utr_ranking": 96,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.42857142857142,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 68,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 96,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4741176470588235,
"utr_diff": 0.15000000000000036,
"rank_ratio": 0.875,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"momentum_p1": 10.0,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"points_diff": -50,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.6000000000000085,
"h2h_wins_diff": 2,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -22.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 61.702127659574465,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.42857142857142,
"utr_advantage": 1.239157372986372,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -28,
"h2h_on_surface": 2,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.13353139262452263,
"rank_advantage": -4,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 10.273556231003042,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.248936170212765,
"p1_surface_matches": 47,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.6165349544072996,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.40540540540540543,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.2249240121580547,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.191489361702132,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.4,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.23404255319148937,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.090559217573258,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.895492616813009,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.371842270732178,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.78431372549019,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.28205128205128,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.09787234042553195,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3428571428571427,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -19.965000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12102127659574469,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.010285714285714231,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.502262443438916,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 2,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}