Victoria Mboko vs Beatriz Haddad Maia
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 04:30
12 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Victoria Mboko
Victoria …: 94,6%
Beatriz …: 5,4%
¿Por qué Victoria Mboko?
UTR 12,62 vs 12,13
(+0,46)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Victoria … | Beatriz … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,40 | 3,00 | 71,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,29 | 3,80 | 77,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,06 | 18,59 | 94,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Victoria …: +26,4%
Beatriz …: -26,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Victoria Mboko
Ranking
#16
UTR Rating
12,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#13
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
20/26 = 76,9%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
Ranking
#61
UTR Rating
12,13 Pro
UTR Ranking
#72
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
6/22 = 27,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 40,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,2222 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,1701 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1105,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -8,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 49,6503 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 34,0513 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1818 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 76,9231 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 27,2727 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 73,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 30,7692 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 22,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5385 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 11,9163 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,0832 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,4098 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,7168 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,9622 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,6259 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 23,6300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 115,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,3667 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7643 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1250 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,3622 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,9410 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 58,0944 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2292 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1873 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 99,3007 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5424 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4882 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,7157 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22252
API ID
15340312
Gamdom ID
586879
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22252,
"api_id": 15340312,
"gamdom_id": 586879,
"player1": "Victoria Mboko",
"player2": "Beatriz Haddad Maia",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-12T00:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4,
"p2": 3.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.29,
"p2": 3.8
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.26,
"p2": 3.75
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.9462,
"prob_p2": 0.0538,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.9462,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 16,
"utr_singles": 12.62,
"utr_ranking": 13,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 76.92307692307693,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 61,
"utr_singles": 12.13,
"utr_ranking": 72,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 27.27272727272727,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 22,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.62,
"ranking": 13,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.13,
"ranking": 72,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4882352941176471,
"utr_diff": 0.4599999999999991,
"rank_ratio": 3.2222222222222223,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": 1105,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.716783216783213,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 20.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
"surface_wr_p1": 76.92307692307693,
"surface_wr_p2": 27.27272727272727,
"utr_advantage": 3.715670436187392,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -8,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.1700712526502546,
"rank_advantage": 40,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.125,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 49.65034965034967,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.96223776223777,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 22,
"serve_quality_diff": 11.916293706293715,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.36666666666666664,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7643312101910829,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.625874125874126,
"combined_confidence": 0.8,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.083216783216791,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5384615384615384,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.362202721155997,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.940954858464563,
"surface_rank_synergy": 58.094446809907765,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 73.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 30.76923076923077,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.409790209790209,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1818181818181819,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 23.630000000000017,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 99.30069930069934,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 115,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.22923076923076935,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.18727272727272726,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 34.051282051282044,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}