Victoria Mboko vs Beatriz Haddad Maia
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Victoria Mboko
Victoria …: 94,6% Beatriz …: 5,4%
¿Por qué Victoria Mboko?
UTR 12,62 vs 12,13 (+0,46) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Victoria … Beatriz … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,40 3,00 71,4%
Gamdom 1,29 3,80 77,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,06 18,59 94,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Victoria …: +26,4% Beatriz …: -26,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Victoria Mboko
Ranking #16
UTR Rating 12,62 Pro
UTR Ranking #13
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 20/26 = 76,9%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
Ranking #61
UTR Rating 12,13 Pro
UTR Ranking #72
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 6/22 = 27,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 40,0000
rank_ratio 3,2222
log_rank_ratio 1,1701
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 1105,0000
best_rank_diff -8,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 49,6503
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 34,0513
surface_matches_ratio 1,1818
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 76,9231
surface_wr_p2 27,2727
surface_wr_p1_stable 73,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 30,7692
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 22,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5385
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 0,7333
combined_confidence 0,8000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 11,9163
first_serve_won_diff 6,0832
second_serve_won_diff 5,4098
bp_saved_diff 1,7168
bp_converted_diff 7,9622
aces_per_match_diff 3,6259
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff 20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 23,6300
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 115,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,3667
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7643
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,1250
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 2,3622
serve_consistency_p2 6,9410
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 58,0944
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2292
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1873
elite_surface_amplifier 99,3007
UTR
utr_diff 0,4600
utr_p1 0,5424
utr_p2 0,4882
utr_advantage 3,7157
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22252
API ID 15340312
Gamdom ID 586879
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22252,
    "api_id": 15340312,
    "gamdom_id": 586879,
    "player1": "Victoria Mboko",
    "player2": "Beatriz Haddad Maia",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-12T00:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.29,
      "p2": 3.8
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.26,
      "p2": 3.75
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.9462,
    "prob_p2": 0.0538,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.9462,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 16,
      "utr_singles": 12.62,
      "utr_ranking": 13,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 76.92307692307693,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 61,
      "utr_singles": 12.13,
      "utr_ranking": 72,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 27.27272727272727,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 22,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.62,
      "ranking": 13,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.13,
      "ranking": 72,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5423529411764705,
    "utr_p2": 0.4882352941176471,
    "utr_diff": 0.4599999999999991,
    "rank_ratio": 3.2222222222222223,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": 1105,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.716783216783213,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 20.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
    "surface_wr_p1": 76.92307692307693,
    "surface_wr_p2": 27.27272727272727,
    "utr_advantage": 3.715670436187392,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -8,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.1700712526502546,
    "rank_advantage": 40,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.125,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 49.65034965034967,
    "bp_converted_diff": 7.96223776223777,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 22,
    "serve_quality_diff": 11.916293706293715,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.36666666666666664,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7643312101910829,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.625874125874126,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.083216783216791,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5384615384615384,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.362202721155997,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.940954858464563,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 58.094446809907765,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 73.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 30.76923076923077,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.409790209790209,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.1818181818181819,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 23.630000000000017,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 99.30069930069934,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 115,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.22923076923076935,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.18727272727272726,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 34.051282051282044,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}