Eliot Spizzirri vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Auckland | Hard | Qualification Final
11 Ene 2026, 02:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Eliot Spizzirri
Eliot …: 86,4% Juan …: 13,6%
¿Por qué Eliot Spizzirri?
UTR 15,16 vs 14,67 (+0,46) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Eliot … Juan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,63 69,2%
Gamdom 1,32 3,10 75,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,16 7,35 86,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Eliot …: +21,9% Juan …: -21,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Eliot Spizzirri
Ranking #85
UTR Rating 15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #70
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 27/44 = 61,4%
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Ranking #87
UTR Rating 14,67 Pro
UTR Ranking #134
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 4/12 = 33,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -4,0000
rank_ratio 0,9551
log_rank_ratio -0,0460
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -28,0000
best_rank_diff -16,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 28,0303
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 16,7292
surface_matches_ratio 3,6667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 61,3636
surface_wr_p2 33,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,4167
surface_wr_p2_stable 37,5000
p1_surface_matches 44,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2273
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,7300
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,4989
first_serve_won_diff -1,7568
second_serve_won_diff 0,2477
bp_saved_diff 4,7409
bp_converted_diff 2,5250
aces_per_match_diff 1,1515
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 48,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 9,6050
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9677
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7391
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 4,9637
serve_consistency_p2 7,1532
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,2890
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1176
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1707
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,4600
utr_p1 0,8400
utr_p2 0,7859
utr_advantage 3,0852
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22255
API ID 15340359
Gamdom ID 586927
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22255,
    "api_id": 15340359,
    "gamdom_id": 586927,
    "player1": "Eliot Spizzirri",
    "player2": "Juan Manuel Cerundolo",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-10T22:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4444444444444444,
      "p2": 2.625
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.32,
      "p2": 3.1
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.42
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.864,
    "prob_p2": 0.136,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.864,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 85,
      "utr_singles": 15.16,
      "utr_ranking": 70,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.36363636363637,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 44,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 87,
      "utr_singles": 14.67,
      "utr_ranking": 134,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.16,
      "ranking": 70,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.67,
      "ranking": 134,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8400000000000001,
    "utr_p2": 0.7858823529411765,
    "utr_diff": 0.46000000000000085,
    "rank_ratio": 0.9550561797752809,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": -28,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.740909090909092,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 1.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "surface_wr_p1": 61.36363636363637,
    "surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": 3.0851777330650627,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -16,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.04598511324182338,
    "rank_advantage": -4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7391304347826086,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 28.03030303030304,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.5249999999999986,
    "p1_surface_matches": 44,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.498939393939402,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.967741935483871,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.1515151515151518,
    "combined_confidence": 0.73,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.7568181818181756,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.22727272727272727,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.963709142333148,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.153196569784342,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.2889766590511103,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.416666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.5,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.2477272727272748,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.6666666666666665,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 9.60499999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11763636363636365,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.17066666666666674,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.729166666666664,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}