Eliot Spizzirri vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Auckland | Hard | Qualification Final
11 Ene 2026, 02:00
11 Ene 2026, 02:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Eliot Spizzirri
Eliot …: 86,4%
Juan …: 13,6%
¿Por qué Eliot Spizzirri?
UTR 15,16 vs 14,67
(+0,46)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Eliot … | Juan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,63 | 69,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,32 | 3,10 | 75,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,16 | 7,35 | 86,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Eliot …: +21,9%
Juan …: -21,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Eliot Spizzirri
Ranking
#85
UTR Rating
15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#70
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
27/44 = 61,4%
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Ranking
#87
UTR Rating
14,67 Pro
UTR Ranking
#134
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
4/12 = 33,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -4,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9551 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0460 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -28,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -16,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 28,0303 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 16,7292 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,6667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61,3636 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,4167 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 37,5000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 44,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2273 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7300 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,4989 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,7568 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,2477 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,7409 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,5250 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,1515 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 9,6050 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9677 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7391 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,9637 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,1532 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,2890 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1176 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1707 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8400 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7859 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,0852 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22255
API ID
15340359
Gamdom ID
586927
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22255,
"api_id": 15340359,
"gamdom_id": 586927,
"player1": "Eliot Spizzirri",
"player2": "Juan Manuel Cerundolo",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-10T22:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4444444444444444,
"p2": 2.625
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.32,
"p2": 3.1
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.3,
"p2": 3.42
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.864,
"prob_p2": 0.136,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.864,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 85,
"utr_singles": 15.16,
"utr_ranking": 70,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.36363636363637,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 44,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 87,
"utr_singles": 14.67,
"utr_ranking": 134,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.16,
"ranking": 70,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.67,
"ranking": 134,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8400000000000001,
"utr_p2": 0.7858823529411765,
"utr_diff": 0.46000000000000085,
"rank_ratio": 0.9550561797752809,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
"points_diff": -28,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.740909090909092,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 1.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.46,
"surface_wr_p1": 61.36363636363637,
"surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"utr_advantage": 3.0851777330650627,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -16,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.04598511324182338,
"rank_advantage": -4,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7391304347826086,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 28.03030303030304,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.5249999999999986,
"p1_surface_matches": 44,
"p2_surface_matches": 12,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.498939393939402,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.967741935483871,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.1515151515151518,
"combined_confidence": 0.73,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.7568181818181756,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.22727272727272727,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.963709142333148,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.153196569784342,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.2889766590511103,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.416666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.5,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.2477272727272748,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.6666666666666665,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 9.60499999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11763636363636365,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.17066666666666674,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.729166666666664,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}