Emilio Nava vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Auckland | Hard | Qualification Final
11 Ene 2026, 03:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Emilio Nava
Emilio …: 57,7% Jan-Lennard …: 42,3%
¿Por qué Emilio Nava?
UTR 14,99 vs 15,12 (-0,24) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Emilio … Jan-Lennard … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,62 45,5%
Gamdom 2,13 1,64 46,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,73 2,36 57,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Emilio …: +15,3% Jan-Lennard …: -15,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Emilio Nava
Ranking #89
UTR Rating 14,99 Pro
UTR Ranking #92
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 8/15 = 53,3%
Jan-Lennard Struff
Ranking #86
UTR Rating 15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking #76
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 11/26 = 42,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -6,0000
rank_ratio 0,9318
log_rank_ratio -0,0706
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -34,0000
best_rank_diff -67,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 11,0256
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6,3538
surface_matches_ratio 0,5769
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,3333
surface_wr_p2 42,3077
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,6316
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,3333
p1_surface_matches 15,0000
p2_surface_matches 26,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5000
p2_confidence 0,8667
combined_confidence 0,6833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0569
first_serve_won_diff 0,4808
second_serve_won_diff -3,2269
bp_saved_diff 14,9500
bp_converted_diff 4,4423
aces_per_match_diff 0,3923
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 62,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff -6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -3,9990
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6585
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0606
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7143
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 11,0890
serve_consistency_p2 10,2941
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,7786
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0393
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0829
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2400
utr_p1 0,8118
utr_p2 0,8400
utr_advantage -1,5979
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22256
API ID 15340412
Gamdom ID 586933
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22256,
    "api_id": 15340412,
    "gamdom_id": 586933,
    "player1": "Emilio Nava",
    "player2": "Jan-Lennard Struff",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-10T23:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.6153846153846154
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.13,
      "p2": 1.64
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.26,
      "p2": 1.62
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5766,
    "prob_p2": 0.4234,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5766,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 89,
      "utr_singles": 14.99,
      "utr_ranking": 92,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 15,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 86,
      "utr_singles": 15.12,
      "utr_ranking": 76,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.99,
      "ranking": 92,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.12,
      "ranking": 76,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8117647058823529,
    "utr_p2": 0.8400000000000001,
    "utr_diff": -0.2400000000000002,
    "rank_ratio": 0.9318181818181818,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": -34,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 14.950000000000003,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.30769230769231,
    "utr_advantage": -1.59786950732357,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -67,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.07061756721395342,
    "rank_advantage": -6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 11.025641025641029,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.442307692307693,
    "p1_surface_matches": 15,
    "p2_surface_matches": 26,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.05692307692306997,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6585365853658537,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0606060606060606,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.3923076923076909,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.4807692307692264,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.088952491964035,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.294058218368454,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.7786039462051276,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.63157894736842,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.226923076923079,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5769230769230769,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -3.9989999999999952,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03933333333333333,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08292307692307693,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.353801169590639,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}