Emilio Nava vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Auckland | Hard | Qualification Final
11 Ene 2026, 03:40
11 Ene 2026, 03:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Emilio Nava
Emilio …: 57,7%
Jan-Lennard …: 42,3%
¿Por qué Emilio Nava?
UTR 14,99 vs 15,12
(-0,24)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Emilio … | Jan-Lennard … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,62 | 45,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,13 | 1,64 | 46,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,73 | 2,36 | 57,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Emilio …: +15,3%
Jan-Lennard …: -15,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Emilio Nava
Ranking
#89
UTR Rating
14,99 Pro
UTR Ranking
#92
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
8/15 = 53,3%
Jan-Lennard Struff
Ranking
#86
UTR Rating
15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking
#76
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
11/26 = 42,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -6,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9318 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0706 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -34,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -67,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 11,0256 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6,3538 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5769 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,3077 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,6316 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 15,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0569 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,4808 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,2269 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 14,9500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,4423 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,3923 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -6,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -3,9990 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6585 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0606 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7143 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,0890 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,2941 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,7786 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0393 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0829 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8118 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8400 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,5979 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22256
API ID
15340412
Gamdom ID
586933
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22256,
"api_id": 15340412,
"gamdom_id": 586933,
"player1": "Emilio Nava",
"player2": "Jan-Lennard Struff",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-10T23:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.6153846153846154
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.13,
"p2": 1.64
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.26,
"p2": 1.62
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5766,
"prob_p2": 0.4234,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5766,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 89,
"utr_singles": 14.99,
"utr_ranking": 92,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 86,
"utr_singles": 15.12,
"utr_ranking": 76,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.99,
"ranking": 92,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.12,
"ranking": 76,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8117647058823529,
"utr_p2": 0.8400000000000001,
"utr_diff": -0.2400000000000002,
"rank_ratio": 0.9318181818181818,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": -34,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 14.950000000000003,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.5,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.30769230769231,
"utr_advantage": -1.59786950732357,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -67,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.07061756721395342,
"rank_advantage": -6,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 11.025641025641029,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.442307692307693,
"p1_surface_matches": 15,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.05692307692306997,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6585365853658537,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0606060606060606,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.3923076923076909,
"combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.4807692307692264,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.088952491964035,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.294058218368454,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.7786039462051276,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.63157894736842,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.333333333333336,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.226923076923079,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5769230769230769,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -3.9989999999999952,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03933333333333333,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08292307692307693,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.353801169590639,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}