Mattia Bellucci vs Hamad Medjedovic
Auckland | Hard | Qualification Final
11 Ene 2026, 03:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hamad Medjedovic
Mattia …: 42,7% Hamad …: 57,3%
¿Por qué Hamad Medjedovic?
UTR 14,75 vs 15,24 (-0,53) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Mattia … Hamad … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,50 1,50 40,0%
Gamdom 2,21 1,59 45,2%
IA Fair Odds 2,34 1,74 42,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Mattia …: +5,2% Hamad …: -5,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mattia Bellucci
Ranking #76
UTR Rating 14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #122
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 12/29 = 41,4%
Hamad Medjedovic
Ranking #90
UTR Rating 15,24 Pro
UTR Ranking #58
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 18/30 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 7,0000
rank_ratio 1,0959
log_rank_ratio 0,0916
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 40,0000
best_rank_diff -6,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -18,6207
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -16,1260
surface_matches_ratio 0,9667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 41,3793
surface_wr_p2 60,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 42,4242
surface_wr_p2_stable 58,8235
p1_surface_matches 29,0000
p2_surface_matches 30,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1724
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -8,5383
first_serve_won_diff -4,6076
second_serve_won_diff -2,2607
bp_saved_diff 4,2890
bp_converted_diff -12,6538
aces_per_match_diff -2,7782
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 42,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -8,9760
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5059
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,2381
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3750
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5294
serve_consistency_p1 8,1714
serve_consistency_p2 6,5421
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,7050
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0932
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1070
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,5300
utr_p1 0,8012
utr_p2 0,8635
utr_advantage -3,5158
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22257
API ID 15340565
Gamdom ID 586995
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22257,
    "api_id": 15340565,
    "gamdom_id": 586995,
    "player1": "Mattia Bellucci",
    "player2": "Hamad Medjedovic",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-10T23:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.5,
      "p2": 1.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.21,
      "p2": 1.59
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.28,
      "p2": 1.59
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4266,
    "prob_p2": 0.5734,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5734,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 76,
      "utr_singles": 14.75,
      "utr_ranking": 122,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.37931034482759,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 90,
      "utr_singles": 15.24,
      "utr_ranking": 58,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.75,
      "ranking": 122,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.24,
      "ranking": 58,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8011764705882354,
    "utr_p2": 0.8635294117647059,
    "utr_diff": -0.5299999999999994,
    "rank_ratio": 1.095890410958904,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 40,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.28896551724138,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -2.000000000000007,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 41.37931034482759,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
    "utr_advantage": -3.5157545605306764,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -6,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.09156719352549043,
    "rank_advantage": 7,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5294117647058824,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -18.620689655172413,
    "bp_converted_diff": -12.653793103448272,
    "p1_surface_matches": 29,
    "p2_surface_matches": 30,
    "serve_quality_diff": -8.538321839080467,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5058823529411764,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2380952380952381,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.7781609195402304,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.607586206896556,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.1724137931034483,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.171428598014433,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.542126438159432,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.7050442932332701,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.42424242424242,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.82352941176471,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.2606896551724205,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9666666666666667,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -8.975999999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.09320689655172415,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10699999999999998,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -16.125965537730252,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}