Mattia Bellucci vs Hamad Medjedovic
Auckland | Hard | Qualification Final
11 Ene 2026, 03:50
11 Ene 2026, 03:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hamad Medjedovic
Mattia …: 42,7%
Hamad …: 57,3%
¿Por qué Hamad Medjedovic?
UTR 14,75 vs 15,24
(-0,53)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mattia … | Hamad … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,50 | 1,50 | 40,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,21 | 1,59 | 45,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,34 | 1,74 | 42,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Mattia …: +5,2%
Hamad …: -5,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mattia Bellucci
Ranking
#76
UTR Rating
14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#122
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
12/29 = 41,4%
Hamad Medjedovic
Ranking
#90
UTR Rating
15,24 Pro
UTR Ranking
#58
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
18/30 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 7,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0959 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0916 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 40,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -6,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -18,6207 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -16,1260 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 41,3793 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42,4242 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,8235 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1724 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8,5383 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,6076 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,2607 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,2890 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -12,6538 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,7782 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -8,9760 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5059 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,2381 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3750 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5294 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,1714 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,5421 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,7050 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0932 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1070 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8012 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8635 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,5158 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22257
API ID
15340565
Gamdom ID
586995
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22257,
"api_id": 15340565,
"gamdom_id": 586995,
"player1": "Mattia Bellucci",
"player2": "Hamad Medjedovic",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-10T23:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.5,
"p2": 1.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.21,
"p2": 1.59
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.28,
"p2": 1.59
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4266,
"prob_p2": 0.5734,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5734,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 76,
"utr_singles": 14.75,
"utr_ranking": 122,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.37931034482759,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 90,
"utr_singles": 15.24,
"utr_ranking": 58,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.75,
"ranking": 122,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.24,
"ranking": 58,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8011764705882354,
"utr_p2": 0.8635294117647059,
"utr_diff": -0.5299999999999994,
"rank_ratio": 1.095890410958904,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 40,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.28896551724138,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -2.000000000000007,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 41.37931034482759,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
"utr_advantage": -3.5157545605306764,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -6,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.09156719352549043,
"rank_advantage": 7,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5294117647058824,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -18.620689655172413,
"bp_converted_diff": -12.653793103448272,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.538321839080467,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5058823529411764,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2380952380952381,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.7781609195402304,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.607586206896556,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.1724137931034483,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.171428598014433,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.542126438159432,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.7050442932332701,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.42424242424242,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.82352941176471,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.2606896551724205,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9666666666666667,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -8.975999999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.09320689655172415,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10699999999999998,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -16.125965537730252,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}