Dalma Galfi vs Mina Hodzic
Adelaide | Hard | Qualification Final
11 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Dalma Galfi
Dalma …: 89,5% Mina …: 10,5%
¿Por qué Dalma Galfi?
UTR 12,26 vs 11,08 (+1,15) — Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Dalma … Mina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,11 6,50 90,0%
Gamdom 1,11 5,60 90,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,12 9,51 89,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Dalma …: +4,1% Mina …: -4,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Dalma Galfi
Ranking #91
UTR Rating 12,26 Pro
UTR Ranking #50
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 11/20 = 55,0%
Mina Hodzic
Ranking #446
UTR Rating 11,08 Pro
UTR Ranking #458
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 38% (8p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 374,0000
rank_ratio 4,9787
log_rank_ratio 1,6052
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 674,0000
best_rank_diff 325,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 55,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 24,5817
surface_matches_ratio 20,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,1667
surface_wr_p2_stable 4,0000
p1_surface_matches 20,0000
p2_surface_matches 1,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6667
p2_confidence 0,3133
combined_confidence 0,4900
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 16,6000
first_serve_won_diff 16,1250
second_serve_won_diff -5,8750
bp_saved_diff 11,2100
bp_converted_diff -6,6500
aces_per_match_diff 5,1500
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 48,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff -20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -7,2150
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6875
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 7,7266
serve_consistency_p2 8,4762
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 88,2845
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,3240
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1260
elite_surface_amplifier 110,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,1500
utr_p1 0,4976
utr_p2 0,3624
utr_advantage 9,8670
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22258
API ID 15340570
Gamdom ID 586965
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22258,
    "api_id": 15340570,
    "gamdom_id": 586965,
    "player1": "Dalma Galfi",
    "player2": "Mina Hodzic",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-10T23:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.1111111111111112,
      "p2": 6.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.11,
      "p2": 5.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.12,
      "p2": 5.72
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8949,
    "prob_p2": 0.1051,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8949,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 91,
      "utr_singles": 12.26,
      "utr_ranking": 50,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.00000000000001,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 446,
      "utr_singles": 11.08,
      "utr_ranking": 458,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 37.5,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.26,
      "ranking": 50,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.08,
      "ranking": 458,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.49764705882352944,
    "utr_p2": 0.3623529411764706,
    "utr_diff": 1.1500000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 4.9787234042553195,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": 674,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 11.21,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -19.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.00000000000001,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 9.86700986700987,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 325,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.6051735136476428,
    "rank_advantage": 374,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 55.00000000000001,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.649999999999999,
    "p1_surface_matches": 20,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "serve_quality_diff": 16.599999999999994,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6875,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 5.15,
    "combined_confidence": 0.49,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 16.124999999999993,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.726591046558824,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.476214232391955,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 88.28454325062037,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.166666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -5.875,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 20.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -7.215000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 110.00000000000001,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.32399999999999995,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.126,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 24.581666666666663,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}