Katerina Siniakova vs Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Adelaide | Hard | Qualification Final
11 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Katerina Siniakova
Katerina …: 72,0% Elena-Gabriela …: 28,0%
¿Por qué Katerina Siniakova?
UTR 12,46 vs 12,16 (+0,35) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Katerina … Elena-Gabriela … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,10 60,0%
Gamdom 1,70 2,03 58,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,39 3,57 72,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Katerina …: +16,3% Elena-Gabriela …: -16,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Katerina Siniakova
Ranking #45
UTR Rating 12,46 Pro
UTR Ranking #26
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 21/33 = 63,6%
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Ranking #79
UTR Rating 12,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #63
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 12/24 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 38,0000
rank_ratio 1,8085
log_rank_ratio 0,5925
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 347,0000
best_rank_diff 24,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 13,6364
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 10,9459
surface_matches_ratio 1,3750
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 63,6364
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 62,1622
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 33,0000
p2_surface_matches 24,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2727
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,8000
combined_confidence 0,9000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,8669
first_serve_won_diff -2,8591
second_serve_won_diff 5,9917
bp_saved_diff 5,6284
bp_converted_diff -1,9038
aces_per_match_diff -1,6174
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 10,1510
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6852
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6154
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5714
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,7465
serve_consistency_p2 9,8525
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 8,0796
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0984
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0380
elite_surface_amplifier 13,6364
UTR
utr_diff 0,3500
utr_p1 0,5282
utr_p2 0,4871
utr_advantage 2,8421
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22259
API ID 15340567
Gamdom ID 586963
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22259,
    "api_id": 15340567,
    "gamdom_id": 586963,
    "player1": "Katerina Siniakova",
    "player2": "Elena-Gabriela Ruse",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-10T23:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.6666666666666665,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.7,
      "p2": 2.03
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.72,
      "p2": 2.07
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7201,
    "prob_p2": 0.2799,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7201,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 45,
      "utr_singles": 12.46,
      "utr_ranking": 26,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.63636363636363,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 79,
      "utr_singles": 12.16,
      "utr_ranking": 63,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 24,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.46,
      "ranking": 26,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.16,
      "ranking": 63,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5282352941176471,
    "utr_p2": 0.4870588235294118,
    "utr_diff": 0.34999999999999964,
    "rank_ratio": 1.8085106382978724,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": 347,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.628409090909088,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8,
    "surface_wr_p1": 63.63636363636363,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 2.842062525375555,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 24,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5925036547802579,
    "rank_advantage": 38,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 13.636363636363633,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.9037878787878668,
    "p1_surface_matches": 33,
    "p2_surface_matches": 24,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.8668939393939326,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6851851851851852,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6153846153846154,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.6174242424242424,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.859090909090895,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2727272727272727,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.746525206778616,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.852508113534233,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 8.07959529245806,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.16216216216216,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.99166666666666,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.375,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 10.15100000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 13.636363636363633,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09836363636363632,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.038000000000000034,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.945945945945946,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}