Sorana Cirstea vs Kamilla Rakhimova
Adelaide | Hard | Qualification Final
11 Ene 2026, 05:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sorana Cirstea
Sorana …: 77,6% Kamilla …: 22,4%
¿Por qué Sorana Cirstea?
UTR 12,48 vs 12,05 (+0,39) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sorana … Kamilla … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,33 3,25 75,0%
Gamdom 1,30 3,20 76,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,29 4,46 77,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Sorana …: +6,7% Kamilla …: -6,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sorana Cirstea
Ranking #41
UTR Rating 12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking #25
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 26/41 = 63,4%
Kamilla Rakhimova
Ranking #93
UTR Rating 12,05 Pro
UTR Ranking #97
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 17/37 = 45,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 50,0000
rank_ratio 2,2195
log_rank_ratio 0,7973
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 441,0000
best_rank_diff 39,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 17,4687
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 15,8808
surface_matches_ratio 1,1081
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 63,4146
surface_wr_p2 45,9459
surface_wr_p1_stable 62,2222
surface_wr_p2_stable 46,3415
p1_surface_matches 41,0000
p2_surface_matches 37,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2683
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,1905
first_serve_won_diff 9,2121
second_serve_won_diff 1,7789
bp_saved_diff -0,4216
bp_converted_diff 2,2332
aces_per_match_diff 1,5254
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,3350
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9589
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5253
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4444
serve_consistency_p1 12,4554
serve_consistency_p2 15,0107
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 13,9276
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0841
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0095
elite_surface_amplifier 17,4687
UTR
utr_diff 0,3900
utr_p1 0,5188
utr_p2 0,4729
utr_advantage 3,1928
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22260
API ID 15340569
Gamdom ID 586964
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22260,
    "api_id": 15340569,
    "gamdom_id": 586964,
    "player1": "Sorana Cirstea",
    "player2": "Kamilla Rakhimova",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-11T01:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3333333333333333,
      "p2": 3.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.2
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.27,
      "p2": 3.58
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7758,
    "prob_p2": 0.2242,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7758,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 41,
      "utr_singles": 12.48,
      "utr_ranking": 25,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.41463414634146,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 41,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 93,
      "utr_singles": 12.05,
      "utr_ranking": 97,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 45.94594594594595,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 12.48,
      "ranking": 25,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.05,
      "ranking": 97,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.4729411764705882,
    "utr_diff": 0.39000000000000057,
    "rank_ratio": 2.2195121951219514,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 441,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.4216216216216182,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 63.41463414634146,
    "surface_wr_p2": 45.94594594594595,
    "utr_advantage": 3.192795742939014,
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    "best_rank_diff": 39,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.7972874398125424,
    "rank_advantage": 50,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 17.468688200395512,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.233223467369811,
    "p1_surface_matches": 41,
    "p2_surface_matches": 37,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.19049439683586,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.958904109589041,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5252525252525253,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.5253790375741594,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 9.212129202373092,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2682926829268293,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.455430263923983,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 15.01071879867074,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 13.927565692176906,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.22222222222222,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.34146341463415,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.778905735003292,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.1081081081081081,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0.33500000000000796,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 17.468688200395512,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0841463414634146,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.00945945945945953,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.880758807588073,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}