Sorana Cirstea vs Kamilla Rakhimova
Adelaide | Hard | Qualification Final
11 Ene 2026, 05:45
11 Ene 2026, 05:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sorana Cirstea
Sorana …: 77,6%
Kamilla …: 22,4%
¿Por qué Sorana Cirstea?
UTR 12,48 vs 12,05
(+0,39)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sorana … | Kamilla … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,33 | 3,25 | 75,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,30 | 3,20 | 76,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,29 | 4,46 | 77,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Sorana …: +6,7%
Kamilla …: -6,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sorana Cirstea
Ranking
#41
UTR Rating
12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#25
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
26/41 = 63,4%
Kamilla Rakhimova
Ranking
#93
UTR Rating
12,05 Pro
UTR Ranking
#97
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
17/37 = 45,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 50,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,2195 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,7973 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 441,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 39,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 17,4687 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15,8808 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1081 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,4146 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 45,9459 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,2222 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 46,3415 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 41,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 37,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2683 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,1905 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 9,2121 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,7789 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,4216 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,2332 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,5254 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,3350 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9589 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5253 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4444 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,4554 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 15,0107 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 13,9276 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0841 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0095 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 17,4687 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5188 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4729 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,1928 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22260
API ID
15340569
Gamdom ID
586964
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22260,
"api_id": 15340569,
"gamdom_id": 586964,
"player1": "Sorana Cirstea",
"player2": "Kamilla Rakhimova",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-11T01:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3333333333333333,
"p2": 3.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.3,
"p2": 3.2
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.27,
"p2": 3.58
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7758,
"prob_p2": 0.2242,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7758,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 41,
"utr_singles": 12.48,
"utr_ranking": 25,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.41463414634146,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 93,
"utr_singles": 12.05,
"utr_ranking": 97,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 45.94594594594595,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.48,
"ranking": 25,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.05,
"ranking": 97,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5188235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.4729411764705882,
"utr_diff": 0.39000000000000057,
"rank_ratio": 2.2195121951219514,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 441,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.4216216216216182,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 63.41463414634146,
"surface_wr_p2": 45.94594594594595,
"utr_advantage": 3.192795742939014,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 39,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.7972874398125424,
"rank_advantage": 50,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4444444444444444,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 17.468688200395512,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.233223467369811,
"p1_surface_matches": 41,
"p2_surface_matches": 37,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.19049439683586,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.958904109589041,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5252525252525253,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.5253790375741594,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 9.212129202373092,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2682926829268293,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.455430263923983,
"serve_consistency_p2": 15.01071879867074,
"surface_rank_synergy": 13.927565692176906,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.22222222222222,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.34146341463415,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.778905735003292,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1081081081081081,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.33500000000000796,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 17.468688200395512,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0841463414634146,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.00945945945945953,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.880758807588073,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}