Jaqueline Cristian vs Anastasia Potapova
Adelaide | Hard | Qualification Final
11 Ene 2026, 07:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jaqueline Cristian
Jaqueline …: 51,3% Anastasia …: 48,7%
¿Por qué Jaqueline Cristian?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jaqueline … Anastasia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,00 1,73 50,0%
Gamdom 2,27 1,56 44,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,95 2,05 51,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Jaqueline …: +5,0% Anastasia …: -5,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jaqueline Cristian
Ranking #35
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 19/34 = 55,9%
Anastasia Potapova
Ranking #55
UTR Rating 12,10 Pro
UTR Ranking #78
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 17/29 = 58,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 17,0000
rank_ratio 1,4474
log_rank_ratio 0,3697
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 252,0000
best_rank_diff -17,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -2,7383
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,2741
surface_matches_ratio 1,1724
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,8824
surface_wr_p2 58,6207
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,2632
surface_wr_p2_stable 57,5758
p1_surface_matches 34,0000
p2_surface_matches 29,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1176
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9667
combined_confidence 0,9833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,1374
first_serve_won_diff -2,1864
second_serve_won_diff -2,0269
bp_saved_diff 2,5613
bp_converted_diff 1,7310
aces_per_match_diff 0,2819
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 48,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff -14,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -12,7010
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7018
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6639
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 5,3600
serve_consistency_p2 7,5932
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,0125
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0418
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1032
elite_surface_amplifier -2,7383
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4929
utr_p2 0,4929
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22262
API ID 15340916
Gamdom ID 587011
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22262,
    "api_id": 15340916,
    "gamdom_id": 587011,
    "player1": "Jaqueline Cristian",
    "player2": "Anastasia Potapova",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-11T03:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.7272727272727273
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.27,
      "p2": 1.56
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.26,
      "p2": 1.6
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5131,
    "prob_p2": 0.4869,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5131,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 35,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.88235294117647,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 34,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 55,
      "utr_singles": 12.1,
      "utr_ranking": 78,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.620689655172406,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.1,
      "ranking": 78,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.49294117647058816,
    "utr_p2": 0.49294117647058816,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.4473684210526316,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": 252,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.5612576064908694,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -14.000000000000007,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.88235294117647,
    "surface_wr_p2": 58.620689655172406,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -17,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.3697470255060852,
    "rank_advantage": 17,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8333333333333334,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -2.7383367139959347,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.7310344827586235,
    "p1_surface_matches": 34,
    "p2_surface_matches": 29,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.1373732251521247,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7017543859649122,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6638655462184874,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.2819472616632859,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.186409736308306,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.11764705882352941,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.3599986992469,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.593185817586014,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.0124918548341044,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.26315789473685,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.57575757575758,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.0268762677484844,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.1724137931034482,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -12.701000000000022,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -2.7383367139959347,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.041823529411764704,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1032068965517241,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.2740563530037163,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}