Jaqueline Cristian vs Anastasia Potapova
Adelaide | Hard | Qualification Final
11 Ene 2026, 07:55
11 Ene 2026, 07:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jaqueline Cristian
Jaqueline …: 51,3%
Anastasia …: 48,7%
¿Por qué Jaqueline Cristian?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jaqueline … | Anastasia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,00 | 1,73 | 50,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,27 | 1,56 | 44,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,95 | 2,05 | 51,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jaqueline …: +5,0%
Anastasia …: -5,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jaqueline Cristian
Ranking
#35
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
19/34 = 55,9%
Anastasia Potapova
Ranking
#55
UTR Rating
12,10 Pro
UTR Ranking
#78
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
17/29 = 58,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 17,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,4474 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3697 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 252,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -17,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -2,7383 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,2741 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1724 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,8824 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58,6207 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,2632 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 57,5758 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 34,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1176 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,1374 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,1864 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,0269 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,5613 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,7310 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,2819 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -14,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -12,7010 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7018 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6639 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,3600 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,5932 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,0125 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0418 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1032 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -2,7383 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4929 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4929 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22262
API ID
15340916
Gamdom ID
587011
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22262,
"api_id": 15340916,
"gamdom_id": 587011,
"player1": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"player2": "Anastasia Potapova",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-11T03:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.7272727272727273
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.27,
"p2": 1.56
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.26,
"p2": 1.6
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5131,
"prob_p2": 0.4869,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5131,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 35,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.88235294117647,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 55,
"utr_singles": 12.1,
"utr_ranking": 78,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.620689655172406,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.1,
"ranking": 78,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.49294117647058816,
"utr_p2": 0.49294117647058816,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.4473684210526316,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": 252,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.5612576064908694,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -14.000000000000007,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.88235294117647,
"surface_wr_p2": 58.620689655172406,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -17,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.3697470255060852,
"rank_advantage": 17,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8333333333333334,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -2.7383367139959347,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.7310344827586235,
"p1_surface_matches": 34,
"p2_surface_matches": 29,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.1373732251521247,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7017543859649122,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6638655462184874,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.2819472616632859,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.186409736308306,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.11764705882352941,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.3599986992469,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.593185817586014,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.0124918548341044,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.26315789473685,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.57575757575758,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.0268762677484844,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1724137931034482,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -12.701000000000022,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -2.7383367139959347,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.041823529411764704,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1032068965517241,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.2740563530037163,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}