Marie Bouzkova vs Yulia Putintseva
Adelaide | Hard | Qualification Final
11 Ene 2026, 06:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marie Bouzkova
Marie …: 75,9% Yulia …: 24,1%
¿Por qué Marie Bouzkova?
UTR 12,48 vs 12,00 (+0,48) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Marie … Yulia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,50 2,50 66,7%
Gamdom 1,46 2,50 68,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,32 4,14 75,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Marie …: +13,4% Yulia …: -13,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marie Bouzkova
Ranking #44
UTR Rating 12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking #22
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 20/32 = 62,5%
Yulia Putintseva
Ranking #94
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #104
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 15/32 = 46,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 28,0000
rank_ratio 1,6087
log_rank_ratio 0,4754
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 291,0000
best_rank_diff -4,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 15,6250
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 13,8889
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 62,5000
surface_wr_p2 46,8750
surface_wr_p1_stable 61,1111
surface_wr_p2_stable 47,2222
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2500
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,3131
first_serve_won_diff 0,8781
second_serve_won_diff 1,2469
bp_saved_diff 5,4813
bp_converted_diff 6,1094
aces_per_match_diff 1,2500
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,3190
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5962
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5574
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7143
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3000
serve_consistency_p1 13,0627
serve_consistency_p2 6,6145
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 7,4285
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0970
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0032
elite_surface_amplifier 15,6250
UTR
utr_diff 0,4800
utr_p1 0,5271
utr_p2 0,4706
utr_advantage 3,9216
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22263
API ID 15340572
Gamdom ID 586996
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22263,
    "api_id": 15340572,
    "gamdom_id": 586996,
    "player1": "Marie Bouzkova",
    "player2": "Yulia Putintseva",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-11T02:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.46,
      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.47,
      "p2": 2.6
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7586,
    "prob_p2": 0.2414,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7586,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 44,
      "utr_singles": 12.48,
      "utr_ranking": 22,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 94,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 104,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.875,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.48,
      "ranking": 22,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 104,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5270588235294118,
    "utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_diff": 0.4800000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 1.608695652173913,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": 291,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.481250000000003,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -2.000000000000007,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
    "surface_wr_p2": 46.875,
    "utr_advantage": 3.921568627450984,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -4,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.4754236967150748,
    "rank_advantage": 28,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 15.625,
    "bp_converted_diff": 6.109374999999993,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.3131249999999994,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5961538461538461,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5573770491803278,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.25,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.8781250000000043,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.062727398841186,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.6145132608742845,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 7.428495261173044,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.111111111111114,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.22222222222222,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.2468749999999957,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0.3190000000000026,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 15.625,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09699999999999998,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.003249999999999975,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.888888888888893,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}