Marie Bouzkova vs Yulia Putintseva
Adelaide | Hard | Qualification Final
11 Ene 2026, 06:30
11 Ene 2026, 06:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marie Bouzkova
Marie …: 75,9%
Yulia …: 24,1%
¿Por qué Marie Bouzkova?
UTR 12,48 vs 12,00
(+0,48)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Marie … | Yulia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,50 | 2,50 | 66,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,46 | 2,50 | 68,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,32 | 4,14 | 75,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Marie …: +13,4%
Yulia …: -13,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marie Bouzkova
Ranking
#44
UTR Rating
12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#22
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
20/32 = 62,5%
Yulia Putintseva
Ranking
#94
UTR Rating
12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#104
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
15/32 = 46,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 28,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,6087 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4754 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 291,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -4,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 15,6250 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 13,8889 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46,8750 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47,2222 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,3131 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,8781 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,2469 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,4813 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,1094 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,2500 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,3190 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5962 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5574 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7143 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,0627 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,6145 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 7,4285 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0970 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0032 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 15,6250 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5271 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,9216 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22263
API ID
15340572
Gamdom ID
586996
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22263,
"api_id": 15340572,
"gamdom_id": 586996,
"player1": "Marie Bouzkova",
"player2": "Yulia Putintseva",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-11T02:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.46,
"p2": 2.5
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.47,
"p2": 2.6
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7586,
"prob_p2": 0.2414,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7586,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 44,
"utr_singles": 12.48,
"utr_ranking": 22,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 94,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 104,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.875,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.48,
"ranking": 22,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 104,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5270588235294118,
"utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_diff": 0.4800000000000004,
"rank_ratio": 1.608695652173913,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": 291,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.481250000000003,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -2.000000000000007,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 46.875,
"utr_advantage": 3.921568627450984,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -4,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.4754236967150748,
"rank_advantage": 28,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 15.625,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.109374999999993,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.3131249999999994,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5961538461538461,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5573770491803278,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.25,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.8781250000000043,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.062727398841186,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.6145132608742845,
"surface_rank_synergy": 7.428495261173044,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.111111111111114,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.22222222222222,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.2468749999999957,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.3190000000000026,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 15.625,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09699999999999998,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.003249999999999975,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.888888888888893,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}