Alycia Parks vs Ayano Shimizu
Hobart | Hard | Qualification Final
11 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alycia Parks
Alycia …: 86,8% Ayano …: 13,2%
¿Por qué Alycia Parks?
UTR 11,84 vs 10,89 (+0,95) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alycia … Ayano … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,13 6,00 88,9%
Gamdom 1,10 5,80 90,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,15 7,56 86,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Alycia …: +2,6% Ayano …: -2,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alycia Parks
Ranking #99
UTR Rating 11,84 Pro
UTR Ranking #157
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 21/41 = 51,2%
Ayano Shimizu
Ranking #397
UTR Rating 10,89 Pro
UTR Ranking #568
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (5p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 310,0000
rank_ratio 4,0693
log_rank_ratio 1,4035
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 615,0000
best_rank_diff 135,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 51,2195
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,7222
surface_matches_ratio 41,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,2195
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,1111
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 41,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0244
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,6500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 65,1876
first_serve_won_diff 68,4098
second_serve_won_diff 55,9585
bp_saved_diff 54,9220
bp_converted_diff 42,5561
aces_per_match_diff 7,0976
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 15,4350
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,2500
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,4031
serve_consistency_p2 6,9887
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 71,8852
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2978
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1900
elite_surface_amplifier 51,2195
UTR
utr_diff 0,9500
utr_p1 0,4435
utr_p2 0,3318
utr_advantage 8,4108
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22264
API ID 15340561
Gamdom ID 586950
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22264,
    "api_id": 15340561,
    "gamdom_id": 586950,
    "player1": "Alycia Parks",
    "player2": "Ayano Shimizu",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-11T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.125,
      "p2": 6.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.1,
      "p2": 5.8
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.11,
      "p2": 6.05
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8677,
    "prob_p2": 0.1323,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8677,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 99,
      "utr_singles": 11.84,
      "utr_ranking": 157,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.21951219512195,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 41,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 397,
      "utr_singles": 10.89,
      "utr_ranking": 568,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.84,
      "ranking": 157,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.89,
      "ranking": 568,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.44352941176470584,
    "utr_p2": 0.33176470588235296,
    "utr_diff": 0.9499999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 4.069306930693069,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": 615,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 54.92195121951219,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.21951219512195,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 8.410801239486492,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 135,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.4034726976549752,
    "rank_advantage": 310,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 51.21951219512195,
    "bp_converted_diff": 42.556097560975616,
    "p1_surface_matches": 41,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 65.18756097560976,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.25,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 7.097560975609756,
    "combined_confidence": 0.65,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 68.40975609756099,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.024390243902439025,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.403143127623719,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.988725791238559,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 71.8851869530597,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.11111111111111,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 55.958536585365856,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 41.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 15.435000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 51.21951219512195,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.29780487804878053,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.18999999999999995,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.7222222222222197,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}