Alycia Parks vs Ayano Shimizu
Hobart | Hard | Qualification Final
11 Ene 2026, 04:00
11 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alycia Parks
Alycia …: 86,8%
Ayano …: 13,2%
¿Por qué Alycia Parks?
UTR 11,84 vs 10,89
(+0,95)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alycia … | Ayano … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,13 | 6,00 | 88,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,10 | 5,80 | 90,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,15 | 7,56 | 86,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alycia …: +2,6%
Ayano …: -2,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alycia Parks
Ranking
#99
UTR Rating
11,84 Pro
UTR Ranking
#157
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
21/41 = 51,2%
Ayano Shimizu
Ranking
#397
UTR Rating
10,89 Pro
UTR Ranking
#568
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (5p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 310,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,0693 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,4035 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 615,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 135,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 51,2195 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,7222 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 41,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,2195 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 41,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0244 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 65,1876 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 68,4098 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 55,9585 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 54,9220 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 42,5561 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 7,0976 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 15,4350 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,2500 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,4031 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,9887 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 71,8852 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2978 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1900 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 51,2195 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,9500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4435 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3318 | |
| utr_advantage | 8,4108 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22264
API ID
15340561
Gamdom ID
586950
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22264,
"api_id": 15340561,
"gamdom_id": 586950,
"player1": "Alycia Parks",
"player2": "Ayano Shimizu",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-11T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.125,
"p2": 6.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.1,
"p2": 5.8
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.11,
"p2": 6.05
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8677,
"prob_p2": 0.1323,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8677,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 99,
"utr_singles": 11.84,
"utr_ranking": 157,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.21951219512195,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 397,
"utr_singles": 10.89,
"utr_ranking": 568,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.84,
"ranking": 157,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.89,
"ranking": 568,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.44352941176470584,
"utr_p2": 0.33176470588235296,
"utr_diff": 0.9499999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 4.069306930693069,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": 615,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 54.92195121951219,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 10.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.21951219512195,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 8.410801239486492,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 135,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.4034726976549752,
"rank_advantage": 310,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 51.21951219512195,
"bp_converted_diff": 42.556097560975616,
"p1_surface_matches": 41,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 65.18756097560976,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.25,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 7.097560975609756,
"combined_confidence": 0.65,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 68.40975609756099,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.024390243902439025,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.403143127623719,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.988725791238559,
"surface_rank_synergy": 71.8851869530597,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.11111111111111,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 55.958536585365856,
"surface_matches_ratio": 41.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 15.435000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 51.21951219512195,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.29780487804878053,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.18999999999999995,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.7222222222222197,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}