Katie Volynets vs Ella Seidel
Hobart | Hard | Qualification Final
11 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ella Seidel
Katie …: 26,9% Ella …: 73,1%
¿Por qué Ella Seidel?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,03 (-0,13) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Katie … Ella … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,73 2,00 57,9%
Gamdom 1,65 2,11 60,6%
IA Fair Odds 3,72 1,37 26,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Katie …: -26,7% Ella …: +26,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Katie Volynets
Ranking #96
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #115
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 21/36 = 58,3%
Ella Seidel
Ranking #82
UTR Rating 12,03 Pro
UTR Ranking #98
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 26/38 = 68,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -12,0000
rank_ratio 0,8750
log_rank_ratio -0,1335
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -50,0000
best_rank_diff 28,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -10,0877
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,1667
surface_matches_ratio 0,9474
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 58,3333
surface_wr_p2 68,4211
surface_wr_p1_stable 57,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 66,6667
p1_surface_matches 36,0000
p2_surface_matches 38,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1667
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -10,4418
first_serve_won_diff -8,7684
second_serve_won_diff -3,0868
bp_saved_diff -2,4816
bp_converted_diff 4,6789
aces_per_match_diff -2,5658
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 62,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -3,3240
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,4423
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2222
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7143
serve_consistency_p1 5,2051
serve_consistency_p2 14,7471
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,3470
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0953
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1722
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1300
utr_p1 0,4682
utr_p2 0,4835
utr_advantage -1,0793
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22265
API ID 15340909
Gamdom ID 586997
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22265,
    "api_id": 15340909,
    "gamdom_id": 586997,
    "player1": "Katie Volynets",
    "player2": "Ella Seidel",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-11T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.7272727272727273,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.65,
      "p2": 2.11
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.64,
      "p2": 2.18
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2691,
    "prob_p2": 0.7309,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7309,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 96,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 115,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 82,
      "utr_singles": 12.03,
      "utr_ranking": 98,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 68.42105263157895,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 115,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.03,
      "ranking": 98,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4682352941176471,
    "utr_p2": 0.4835294117647058,
    "utr_diff": -0.129999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 0.875,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": -50,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.481578947368426,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 58.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2": 68.42105263157895,
    "utr_advantage": -1.079286010792852,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 28,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.13353139262452263,
    "rank_advantage": -12,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2222222222222222,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -10.08771929824561,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.678947368421049,
    "p1_surface_matches": 36,
    "p2_surface_matches": 38,
    "serve_quality_diff": -10.441842105263163,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4423076923076923,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.5657894736842106,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -8.768421052631581,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.16666666666666666,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.205110588375705,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 14.747102049034005,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.3470272063000084,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.49999999999999,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.66666666666666,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.086842105263159,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9473684210526315,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -3.323999999999998,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09533333333333338,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17221052631578948,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.166666666666664,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}