Katie Volynets vs Ella Seidel
Hobart | Hard | Qualification Final
11 Ene 2026, 04:00
11 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ella Seidel
Katie …: 26,9%
Ella …: 73,1%
¿Por qué Ella Seidel?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,03
(-0,13)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Katie … | Ella … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,00 | 57,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,65 | 2,11 | 60,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,72 | 1,37 | 26,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Katie …: -26,7%
Ella …: +26,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Katie Volynets
Ranking
#96
UTR Rating
12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#115
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
21/36 = 58,3%
Ella Seidel
Ranking
#82
UTR Rating
12,03 Pro
UTR Ranking
#98
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
26/38 = 68,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -12,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8750 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1335 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -50,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 28,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -10,0877 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,1667 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9474 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 58,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 68,4211 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 66,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -10,4418 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -8,7684 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,0868 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,4816 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,6789 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,5658 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -3,3240 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4423 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2222 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7143 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,2051 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 14,7471 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,3470 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0953 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1722 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4682 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4835 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,0793 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22265
API ID
15340909
Gamdom ID
586997
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22265,
"api_id": 15340909,
"gamdom_id": 586997,
"player1": "Katie Volynets",
"player2": "Ella Seidel",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-11T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.7272727272727273,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.65,
"p2": 2.11
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.64,
"p2": 2.18
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2691,
"prob_p2": 0.7309,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7309,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 96,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 115,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 82,
"utr_singles": 12.03,
"utr_ranking": 98,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 68.42105263157895,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 115,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.03,
"ranking": 98,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4682352941176471,
"utr_p2": 0.4835294117647058,
"utr_diff": -0.129999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 0.875,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": -50,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.481578947368426,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 58.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2": 68.42105263157895,
"utr_advantage": -1.079286010792852,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 28,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.13353139262452263,
"rank_advantage": -12,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2222222222222222,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -10.08771929824561,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.678947368421049,
"p1_surface_matches": 36,
"p2_surface_matches": 38,
"serve_quality_diff": -10.441842105263163,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4423076923076923,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.5657894736842106,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -8.768421052631581,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.16666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.205110588375705,
"serve_consistency_p2": 14.747102049034005,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.3470272063000084,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.49999999999999,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.66666666666666,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.086842105263159,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9473684210526315,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -3.323999999999998,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09533333333333338,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17221052631578948,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.166666666666664,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}