Petra Marčinko vs Oksana Selekhmeteva
Hobart | Hard | Qualification Final
11 Ene 2026, 04:00
11 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Petra …: 42,7%
Oksana …: 57,3%
¿Por qué Oksana Selekhmeteva?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Petra … | Oksana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,57 | 2,25 | 63,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,34 | 1,74 | 42,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Petra …: -16,2%
Oksana …: +16,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Petra Marčinko
Ranking
#81
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
6/10 = 60,0%
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Ranking
#101
UTR Rating
12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#100
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
9/13 = 69,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 18,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2195 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1985 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 71,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 14,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -9,2308 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,4286 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7692 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 69,2308 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 64,7059 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 13,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4733 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4533 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,7783 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,7400 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,5200 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,1800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5,4400 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,0462 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -10,2650 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,3778 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,1790 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,6156 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,8319 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0820 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2103 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4741 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4741 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22266
API ID
15340910
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22266,
"api_id": 15340910,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Petra Mar\u010dinko",
"player2": "Oksana Selekhmeteva",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-11T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5714285714285714,
"p2": 2.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.6,
"p2": 2.25
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4268,
"prob_p2": 0.5732,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5732,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 81,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 101,
"utr_singles": 12.02,
"utr_ranking": 100,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 69.23076923076923,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.02,
"ranking": 100,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4741176470588235,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.2195121951219512,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 71,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.179999999999993,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -9.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"p2_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 69.23076923076923,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 14,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.19845093872383823,
"rank_advantage": 18,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -9.230769230769226,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.440000000000012,
"p1_surface_matches": 10,
"p2_surface_matches": 13,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.778307692307692,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.37777777777777777,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.0461538461538462,
"combined_confidence": 0.45333333333333337,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.739999999999995,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.178963401010549,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.615561852908616,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.8318548189892752,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.14285714285714,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.70588235294117,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.520000000000003,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7692307692307693,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -10.265000000000015,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08199999999999996,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2103076923076923,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.4285714285714297,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}