Petra Marčinko vs Oksana Selekhmeteva
Hobart | Hard | Qualification Final
11 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Petra …: 42,7% Oksana …: 57,3%
¿Por qué Oksana Selekhmeteva?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Petra … Oksana … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,25 63,6%
IA Fair Odds 2,34 1,74 42,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Petra …: -16,2% Oksana …: +16,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Petra Marčinko
Ranking #81
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 6/10 = 60,0%
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Ranking #101
UTR Rating 12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking #100
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 9/13 = 69,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 18,0000
rank_ratio 1,2195
log_rank_ratio 0,1985
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 71,0000
best_rank_diff 14,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -9,2308
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,4286
surface_matches_ratio 0,7692
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 69,2308
surface_wr_p1_stable 57,1429
surface_wr_p2_stable 64,7059
p1_surface_matches 10,0000
p2_surface_matches 13,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4333
p2_confidence 0,4733
combined_confidence 0,4533
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,7783
first_serve_won_diff 2,7400
second_serve_won_diff -3,5200
bp_saved_diff 5,1800
bp_converted_diff 5,4400
aces_per_match_diff -1,0462
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -10,2650
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,3778
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 12,1790
serve_consistency_p2 10,6156
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,8319
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0820
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2103
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4741
utr_p2 0,4741
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22266
API ID 15340910
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22266,
    "api_id": 15340910,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Petra Mar\u010dinko",
    "player2": "Oksana Selekhmeteva",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-11T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5714285714285714,
      "p2": 2.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.6,
      "p2": 2.25
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4268,
    "prob_p2": 0.5732,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5732,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 81,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 101,
      "utr_singles": 12.02,
      "utr_ranking": 100,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 69.23076923076923,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 13,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.02,
      "ranking": 100,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4741176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.4741176470588235,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2195121951219512,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 71,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.179999999999993,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -9.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "p2_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 69.23076923076923,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 14,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.19845093872383823,
    "rank_advantage": 18,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -9.230769230769226,
    "bp_converted_diff": 5.440000000000012,
    "p1_surface_matches": 10,
    "p2_surface_matches": 13,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.778307692307692,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.37777777777777777,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.0461538461538462,
    "combined_confidence": 0.45333333333333337,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.739999999999995,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.178963401010549,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.615561852908616,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.8318548189892752,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.14285714285714,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.70588235294117,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.520000000000003,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7692307692307693,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -10.265000000000015,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08199999999999996,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2103076923076923,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.4285714285714297,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}