Kotaro Mochizuki vs Ammar Elamin
UTR Yokohama M01 | Hard | Final
11 Ene 2026, 05:00
11 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ammar Elamin
Kotaro …: 47,7%
Ammar …: 52,3%
¿Por qué Ammar Elamin?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,65
(-0,61)
— Niveles similares
Kotaro …
W51-L29
64% WR
vs UTR 11,7
L1
Ammar …
W78-L29
73% WR
vs UTR 11,5
L1
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Kotaro … | Ammar … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 2,25 | 1,50 | 44,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,10 | 1,91 | 47,7% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kotaro Mochizuki
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 General
UTR Ranking
#1867
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Ammar Elamin
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1421
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Kotaro Mochizuki
Record 2025
51W - 29L (64%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
11,7
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
W
Ammar Elamin
Record 2025
78W - 29L (73%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
11,5
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 14,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 10,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,4000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,8383 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,2557 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,6100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5424 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,9573 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22279
API ID
15341370
Gamdom ID
587150
Torneo
UTR Yokohama M01
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22279,
"api_id": 15341370,
"gamdom_id": 587150,
"player1": "Kotaro Mochizuki",
"player2": "Ammar Elamin",
"tournament": "UTR Yokohama M01",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2026-01-11T01:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.25,
"p2": 1.5
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.62
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4773,
"prob_p2": 0.5227,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5227,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 1867,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 51,
"utr_v4_losses": 29,
"utr_v4_wr": 63.74999999999999,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.69,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.97,
"opponent_name": "Ryotaro Matsumura"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Taiyo Hirano"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Yamato Nishiyama"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Shotaro Kashiwagi"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Taki Adachi"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:12.399437+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.65,
"utr_ranking": 1421,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 78,
"utr_v4_losses": 29,
"utr_v4_wr": 72.89719626168224,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.45,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.82,
"opponent_name": "Mihai Alexandru Coman"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Miles Groom"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Iulius Maximus Stoica"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.18,
"opponent_name": "Vasile Antonescu"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Alejandro Mateo Berge Nourescu"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:18.437709+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 1867,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.65,
"ranking": 1421,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.5423529411764705,
"utr_diff": -0.6099999999999994,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 2,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": 14.000000000000014,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -4.957334416903693,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 2,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.4,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.8382735982659915,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.255712763100147,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 10.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 2,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}