Jessica Pegula vs Ajla Tomljanovic
Austin | Hard | Semifinals
01 Mar 2025, 19:30
01 Mar 2025, 19:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jessica … | Ajla … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jessica Pegula
Ranking
#6
UTR Rating
12.78 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
62/87 = 71.3%
Ajla Tomljanovic
Ranking
#80
UTR Rating
12.25 Pro
UTR Ranking
#49
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
57% (7p)
WR Hard
26/51 = 51.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 74.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 13.3333 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2.5903 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3.0000 | |
| points_diff | 4739.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 29.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 19.3804 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 19.4206 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.7059 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 70.6767 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51.2963 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 70.3297 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.9091 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 87.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 51.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.4253 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1.7976 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3.0792 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.6919 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4.1433 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0.3647 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.0252 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1.6540 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.9061 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.5466 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4348 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.7500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.3728 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.6824 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 50.2004 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1328 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0870 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 58.1412 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.5300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5624 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| utr_advantage | 4.2349 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
2229
API ID
13499162
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Austin
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 2229,
"api_id": 13499162,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jessica Pegula",
"player2": "Ajla Tomljanovic",
"tournament": "Austin",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-03-01T19:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 6,
"utr_singles": 12.78,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.26436781609196,
"wr_surface_wins": 62,
"wr_surface_total": 87,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 80,
"utr_singles": 12.25,
"utr_ranking": 49,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.98039215686274,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 51,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 57.14285714285714,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.78,
"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.25,
"ranking": 49,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 74,
"rank_ratio": 13.333333333333334,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.5902671654458267,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"points_diff": 4739,
"best_rank_diff": 29,
"surface_wr_diff": 19.380395433027005,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 19.42057942057943,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.7058823529411764,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 70.6766917293233,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.29629629629629,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 70.32967032967034,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.90909090909091,
"p1_surface_matches": 87,
"p2_surface_matches": 51,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.42528735632183906,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.7975744569757737,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.0792105263157765,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.6919078947368433,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.143289473684213,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.36473684210526613,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.02519841269841283,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 2.000000000000014,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.6539999999999964,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.906060606060606,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5466101694915254,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.43478260869565216,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.37277038767192,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.682426064023472,
"surface_rank_synergy": 50.2004019435261,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.13276691729323287,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08696296296296302,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 58.14118629908101,
"utr_diff": 0.5299999999999994,
"utr_p1": 0.5623529411764705,
"utr_p2": 0.5,
"utr_advantage": 4.234918098282056,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}