Emiliana Arango vs Antonia Ružić
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 13:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Emiliana Arango
Emiliana …: 56,9% Antonia …: 43,1%
¿Por qué Emiliana Arango?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Emiliana … Antonia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,75 1,44 36,4%
Gamdom 2,75 1,48 36,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,76 2,32 56,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Emiliana …: +22,5% Antonia …: -22,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Emiliana Arango
Ranking #51
UTR Rating 11,90 Pro
UTR Ranking #124
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 17/31 = 54,8%
Antonia Ružić
Ranking #65
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 18/32 = 56,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 22,0000
rank_ratio 1,4583
log_rank_ratio 0,3773
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 224,0000
best_rank_diff 23,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -1,4113
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,2698
surface_matches_ratio 0,9688
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 54,8387
surface_wr_p2 56,2500
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,2857
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,5556
p1_surface_matches 31,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0968
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,5121
first_serve_won_diff -2,4875
second_serve_won_diff -0,0813
bp_saved_diff -0,2469
bp_converted_diff -1,9406
aces_per_match_diff -1,6220
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 20,0000
momentum_p2 28,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -1,3040
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 7,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 9,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5556
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5625
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 7,7436
serve_consistency_p2 11,2823
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,5325
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0264
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0845
elite_surface_amplifier -1,4113
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4682
utr_p2 0,4682
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22290
API ID 15340362
Gamdom ID 586924
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22290,
    "api_id": 15340362,
    "gamdom_id": 586924,
    "player1": "Emiliana Arango",
    "player2": "Antonia Ru\u017ei\u0107",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-12T09:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.75,
      "p2": 1.44
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.75,
      "p2": 1.48
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.43,
      "p2": 1.57
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5691,
    "prob_p2": 0.4309,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5691,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 51,
      "utr_singles": 11.9,
      "utr_ranking": 124,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.83870967741935,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 65,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.25,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.9,
      "ranking": 124,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4682352941176471,
    "utr_p2": 0.4682352941176471,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.4583333333333333,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 20.0,
    "momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": 224,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.24687499999999574,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -8.000000000000004,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 54.83870967741935,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.25,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 23,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.377294231141468,
    "rank_advantage": 22,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -1.4112903225806477,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.9406250000000043,
    "p1_surface_matches": 31,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.512076612903222,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5625,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.621975806451613,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.487499999999997,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0967741935483871,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.7436021265564445,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.282292853367306,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.5324716971754598,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.285714285714285,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.55555555555556,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.08125000000000426,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.96875,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -1.304000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -1.4112903225806477,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 9,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.026387096774193486,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08450000000000002,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.2698412698412724,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}