Emiliana Arango vs Antonia Ružić
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
12 Ene 2026, 13:50
12 Ene 2026, 13:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Emiliana Arango
Emiliana …: 56,9%
Antonia …: 43,1%
¿Por qué Emiliana Arango?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Emiliana … | Antonia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,75 | 1,44 | 36,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,75 | 1,48 | 36,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,76 | 2,32 | 56,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Emiliana …: +22,5%
Antonia …: -22,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Emiliana Arango
Ranking
#51
UTR Rating
11,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#124
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
17/31 = 54,8%
Antonia Ružić
Ranking
#65
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
18/32 = 56,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 22,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,4583 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3773 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 224,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 23,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -1,4113 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,2698 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9688 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54,8387 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,2500 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,2857 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,5556 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0968 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,5121 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,4875 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,0813 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,2469 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,9406 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,6220 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1,3040 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 9,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5556 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5625 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,7436 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,2823 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,5325 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0264 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0845 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -1,4113 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4682 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4682 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22290
API ID
15340362
Gamdom ID
586924
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22290,
"api_id": 15340362,
"gamdom_id": 586924,
"player1": "Emiliana Arango",
"player2": "Antonia Ru\u017ei\u0107",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-12T09:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.75,
"p2": 1.44
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.75,
"p2": 1.48
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.43,
"p2": 1.57
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5691,
"prob_p2": 0.4309,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5691,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 51,
"utr_singles": 11.9,
"utr_ranking": 124,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.83870967741935,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 65,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.9,
"ranking": 124,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4682352941176471,
"utr_p2": 0.4682352941176471,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.4583333333333333,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"points_diff": 224,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.24687499999999574,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -8.000000000000004,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.83870967741935,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.25,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 23,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.377294231141468,
"rank_advantage": 22,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -1.4112903225806477,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.9406250000000043,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.512076612903222,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5625,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.621975806451613,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.487499999999997,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0967741935483871,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.7436021265564445,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.282292853367306,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.5324716971754598,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.285714285714285,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.55555555555556,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.08125000000000426,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.96875,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.304000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -1.4112903225806477,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 9,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.026387096774193486,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08450000000000002,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.2698412698412724,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}